Copa do Brasil U20· Brazil · Round of 32

Atlético Mineiro U20

19:00

🕒 19:00

Athletic Club MG U20

Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20 prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

58%

Atlético Mineiro U20

31%

Draw

12%

Athletic Club MG U20

Atlético Mineiro U20 58% · draw 31% · Athletic Club MG U20 12%. We pick Draw (Draw). Most likely score 2-0, over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 58%.

🎯 Our pick

Draw · Draw

Draw @ 3.80 Confidence 26%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

158%

Fair 1.74Odds 4.33

Home win

Value

Home win58%

Fair 1.74Odds 4.33

Away win

Away win12%

Fair 8.65Odds 1.20

Double chance

1X88%

Fair 1.13Odds 1.14

Draw no bet

Home DNB83%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH80%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.586%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Value

Over 2.568%

Fair 1.47Odds 1.60

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.554%

Fair 1.86Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)58%

Fair 1.72Odds —

Correct score

2-09%

Fair 10.60Odds 9.50

Banker tip

1X88%

Fair 1.13Odds 1.14

Super single

Value

Over 2.568%

Fair 1.47Odds 1.60

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.62

X3.75

24.33

Double chance

1X1.14

121.20

X22.10

Goals 2.5

Over1.60

Under2.30

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	58%	1.74	4.33	Value
Home win	Home win	58%	1.74	4.33	Value
Away win	Away win	12%	8.65	1.20
Double chance	1X	88%	1.13	1.14
Draw no bet	Home DNB	83%	1.20	—
Win either half	Home WEH	80%	1.25	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	86%	1.16	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	1.47	1.60	Value
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	54%	1.86	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	58%	1.72	—
Correct score	2-0	9%	10.60	9.50
Banker	1X	88%	1.13	1.14
Super single	Over 2.5	68%	1.47	1.60	Value

Form & head to head

Atlético Mineiro U20

W

100%

Form

12%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Athletic Club MG U20

W

100%

Form

6%

Attack

97%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 1

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

67%

33%

Defence

100%

0%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

25%

75%

Goals

50%

Overall

48%

52%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

3

Away wins

24 Aug 26 Atlético Mineiro U20 3 - 0 Athletic Club MG U20

1 Jun 26 Athletic Club MG U20 2 - 1 Atlético Mineiro U20

23 Aug 25 Atlético Mineiro U20 2 - 3 Athletic Club MG U20

11 May 24 Athletic Club MG U20 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro U20

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 4 · over 2.5 in 3 of 4.

Match preview

Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20: match preview

Atlético Mineiro U20 host Athletic Club MG U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Round of 32) on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 19:00.

Form guide

Atlético Mineiro U20 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Athletic Club MG U20 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Atlético Mineiro U20 have 1 win from 1 game, while Athletic Club MG U20 have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Atlético Mineiro U20 and 1 for Athletic Club MG U20, 3.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 86% chance, over 2.5 68% and both teams to score 58%. The single most likely score is 2-0.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Atlético Mineiro U20 won 1, Athletic Club MG U20 won 3 and 0 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) at 26% confidence, priced at 3.80. The model also leans towards 1X (88%), Over 1.5 (86%), Home DNB (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Atlético Mineiro U20 58%, draw 31%, Athletic Club MG U20 12%.
Expected goals: 2.5 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Atlético Mineiro U20 have 1 clean sheets this season; Athletic Club MG U20 have 0.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Atlético Mineiro U20.

See more Copa do Brasil U20 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:37 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) with 26% confidence. Win probabilities are Atlético Mineiro U20 58%, draw 31% and Athletic Club MG U20 12%.

Will both teams score in Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance and the most likely score is 2-0.

When and where is Atlético Mineiro U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.