Veikkausliiga· Finland · Championship Group - 26

KuPS

17:00

🕒 17:00

AC Oulu

KuPS vs AC Oulu prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio 🧑‍⚖️ Kontinen Joona

Prediction

● Live data

26%

KuPS

37%

Draw

37%

AC Oulu

KuPS 26% · draw 37% · AC Oulu 37%. We pick X2 (Big Odds). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 38%, BTTS at 44%.

🎯 Our pick

Big Odds · X2

X2 @ 2.25 Confidence 44%

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All prediction categories

1X2

237%

Fair 2.71Odds 1.25

Home win

Value

Home win26%

Fair 3.80Odds 5.00

Away win

Away win37%

Fair 2.71Odds 1.25

Double chance

Value

X274%

Fair 1.36Odds 2.25

Draw no bet

Away DNB58%

Fair 1.71Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.565%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.562%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.582%

Fair 1.23Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)56%

Fair 1.80Odds 1.85

Correct score

1-014%

Fair 7.37Odds 6.50

Banker tip

Under 3.582%

Fair 1.23Odds —

Super single

Value

X274%

Fair 1.36Odds 2.25

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.60

X3.70

25.00

Double chance

1X1.15

121.25

X22.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.85

No1.85

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	37%	2.71	1.25
Home win	Home win	26%	3.80	5.00	Value
Away win	Away win	37%	2.71	1.25
Double chance	X2	74%	1.36	2.25	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	58%	1.71	—
Win either half	Home WEH	55%	1.83	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	65%	1.54	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	62%	1.62	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	82%	1.23	—
BTTS	NG (No)	56%	1.80	1.85	Value
Correct score	1-0	14%	7.37	6.50
Banker	Under 3.5	82%	1.23	—
Super single	X2	74%	1.36	2.25	Value

Form & head to head

KuPS

LLDDW

33%

Form

45%

Attack

45%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 6

Season W-D-L13-9-3

Clean sheets · failed to score8 · 4

AC Oulu

WDLLL

27%

Form

18%

Attack

64%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 4

Season W-D-L10-4-11

Clean sheets · failed to score9 · 8

Team comparison

Form

56%

44%

Attack

71%

29%

Defence

40%

60%

Poisson model

61%

39%

Head to head

29%

71%

Goals

32%

68%

Overall

48%

51%

Head to head

5

Home wins

1

Draws

4

Away wins

2 May 26 AC Oulu 2 - 0 KuPS

22 Apr 26 KuPS 3 - 2 AC Oulu

28 Feb 26 AC Oulu 5 - 0 KuPS

5 Dec 25 KuPS 1 - 2 AC Oulu

4 Jul 25 AC Oulu 2 - 2 KuPS

12 Apr 25 KuPS 1 - 0 AC Oulu

3.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

KuPS vs AC Oulu: match preview

KuPS host AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 26) at Savon Sanomat Areena on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 17:00.

Form guide

KuPS have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. AC Oulu have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. At home this season KuPS have 6 wins from 12 games, while AC Oulu have won 4 of 12 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for KuPS and 0.97 for AC Oulu, 2.22 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 65% chance, over 2.5 38% and both teams to score 44%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, KuPS won 5, AC Oulu won 4 and 1 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Big Odds (X2) at 44% confidence, priced at 2.25. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (82%), X2 (74%), Over 1.5 (65%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: KuPS 26%, draw 37%, AC Oulu 37%.
Expected goals: 1.25 vs 0.97.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
KuPS have 8 clean sheets this season; AC Oulu have 9.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or AC Oulu.

See more Veikkausliiga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:35 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KuPS vs AC Oulu?

Our main pick is Big Odds (X2) with 44% confidence. Win probabilities are KuPS 26%, draw 37% and AC Oulu 37%.

Will both teams score in KuPS vs AC Oulu?

Our model gives both teams to score a 44% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in KuPS vs AC Oulu?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is KuPS vs AC Oulu?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 17:00, Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.