UEFA Europa League· World · Play-offs

Plzen

5-1

FT

FK Crvena Zvezda

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction

📅 Thu 27 Aug 2026 🏟️ Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen 🧑‍⚖️ Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Prediction

● Live data

1%

Plzen

28%

Draw

71%

FK Crvena Zvezda

Plzen 1% · draw 28% · FK Crvena Zvezda 71%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-2, over 2.5 at 62%, BTTS at 17%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 30%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

271%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win1%

Fair 167.89Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win71%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Double chance

✕

X299%

Fair 1.01Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB99%

Fair 1.01Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH93%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.560%

Fair 1.66Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)83%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-218%

Fair 5.45Odds —

Banker tip

✕

X299%

Fair 1.01Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	71%	1.41	—
Home win	Home win	1%	167.89	—
Away win	Away win	71%	1.41	—
Double chance	X2	99%	1.01	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	99%	1.01	—
Win either half	Away WEH	93%	1.07	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	83%	1.21	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	60%	1.66	—
BTTS	NG (No)	83%	1.21	—
Correct score	0-2	18%	5.45	—
Banker	X2	99%	1.01	—
Super single	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—

Form & head to head

Plzen

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

75%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 3

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

FK Crvena Zvezda

W

100%

Form

25%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

0%

100%

Overall

0%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

27 Aug 26 Plzen 5 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda

20 Aug 26 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 - 0 Plzen

4.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 2 of 2.

Match statistics

55%Ball Possession45%

11Shots on Goal2

5Corner Kicks3

20Fouls16

1Yellow Cards7

Key events

8'⚽ P. Adu Normal Goal
11'⚽ M. Ivanic Normal Goal
50'🟨 Franklin Tebo Yellow Card
51'⚽ Prince Kwabena Adu Missed Penalty
54'🟥 Osman Bukari Red Card
58'⚽ D. Visinsky Penalty
63'⚽ P. Hrosovsky Normal Goal
65'🟨 Marko Arnautović Yellow Card
90'+4🟨 Rodrigão Yellow Card
90'+2🟨 Jay Enem Yellow Card
90'⚽ C. Kabongo Penalty
96'⚽ D. Krcik Normal Goal
102'🟨 Tomáš Ladra Yellow Card
102'🟨 Derrick Luckassen Yellow Card
105'+3🟨 Vasilije Kostov Yellow Card
105'+3🟨 Rade Krunić Yellow Card

Match preview

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda: match preview

Plzen host FK Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Europa League (Play-offs) at Stadion Mesta Plzne on Thursday 27 August, kick-off 18:00. The match finished 5-1.

Form guide

Plzen have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. FK Crvena Zvezda have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Plzen and 3 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 3.20 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 83% chance, over 2.5 62% and both teams to score 17%. The single most likely score is 0-2.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Plzen won 1, FK Crvena Zvezda won 1 and 0 ended level, with 4.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 30% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (99%), Away DNB (99%), Away WEH (93%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Plzen 1%, draw 28%, FK Crvena Zvezda 71%.
Expected goals: 0.2 vs 3.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 2 meetings.
Plzen have 0 clean sheets this season; FK Crvena Zvezda have 1.
API-Football model advice: Winner : FK Crvena Zvezda.

See more UEFA Europa League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:37 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 30% confidence. Win probabilities are Plzen 1%, draw 28% and FK Crvena Zvezda 71%.

Will both teams score in Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Our model gives both teams to score a 17% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance and the most likely score is 0-2.

When and where is Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Thursday 27 August 2026 at 18:00, Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.