UEFA Europa League· World · 3rd Qualifying Round

Pafos

3-3

FT

Red Bull Salzburg

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

📅 Thu 13 Aug 2026 🏟️ Alphamega Stadium, Limassol 🧑‍⚖️ J. Pinheiro

Prediction

● Live data

11%

Pafos

40%

Draw

48%

Red Bull Salzburg

Pafos 11% · draw 40% · Red Bull Salzburg 48%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 15%, BTTS at 19%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 65%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

248%

Fair 2.07Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win11%

Fair 8.79Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win48%

Fair 2.07Odds —

Double chance

✓

X289%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB81%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH57%

Fair 1.76Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.561%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.585%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.595%

Fair 1.05Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)81%

Fair 1.23Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-026%

Fair 3.86Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.595%

Fair 1.05Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 1.561%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	48%	2.07	—
Home win	Home win	11%	8.79	—
Away win	Away win	48%	2.07	—
Double chance	X2	89%	1.13	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	81%	1.24	—
Win either half	Away WEH	57%	1.76	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	61%	1.64	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	85%	1.18	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	95%	1.05	—
BTTS	NG (No)	81%	1.23	—
Correct score	0-0	26%	3.86	—
Banker	Under 3.5	95%	1.05	—
Super single	Under 1.5	61%	1.64	—

Form & head to head

Pafos

LWL

33%

Form

13%

Attack

80%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 3

Season W-D-L1-0-2

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 2

Red Bull Salzburg

W

100%

Form

7%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

67%

33%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

0%

100%

Overall

58%

41%

Head to head

0

Home wins

1

Draws

1

Away wins

13 Aug 26 Pafos 3 - 3 Red Bull Salzburg

6 Aug 26 Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 0 Pafos

3.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match preview

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg: match preview

Pafos host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Alphamega Stadium on Thursday 13 August, kick-off 18:00. The match finished 3-3.

Form guide

Pafos have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 league games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Red Bull Salzburg have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. At home this season Pafos have 1 win from 1 game, while Red Bull Salzburg have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.35 goals for Pafos and 1 for Red Bull Salzburg, 1.35 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 39% chance, over 2.5 15% and both teams to score 19%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Pafos won 0, Red Bull Salzburg won 1 and 1 ended level, with 3.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 65% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (95%), X2 (89%), Under 2.5 (85%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Pafos 11%, draw 40%, Red Bull Salzburg 48%.
Expected goals: 0.35 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Pafos have 1 clean sheets this season; Red Bull Salzburg have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Red Bull Salzburg and -3.5 goals.

See more UEFA Europa League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:37 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 65% confidence. Win probabilities are Pafos 11%, draw 40% and Red Bull Salzburg 48%.

Will both teams score in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our model gives both teams to score a 19% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 15% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Thursday 13 August 2026 at 18:00, Alphamega Stadium, Limassol.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.