Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 2

VfB Stuttgart

4-1

FT

1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln prediction

📅 Fri 4 Sep 2026 🏟️ MHPArena, Stuttgart 🧑‍⚖️ C. Dingert

Prediction

● Live data

10%

VfB Stuttgart

28%

Draw

63%

1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart 10% · draw 28% · 1. FC Köln 63%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 1-3, over 2.5 at 91%, BTTS at 76%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 44%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

263%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win10%

Fair 10.42Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win63%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Double chance

✕

X290%

Fair 1.11Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH89%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.597%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.591%

Fair 1.10Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.580%

Fair 1.26Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)76%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-37%

Fair 15.29Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.597%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Super single

✕

263%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	63%	1.60	—
Home win	Home win	10%	10.42	—
Away win	Away win	63%	1.60	—
Double chance	X2	90%	1.11	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	87%	1.15	—
Win either half	Away WEH	89%	1.13	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	97%	1.03	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	91%	1.10	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	80%	1.26	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	76%	1.32	—
Correct score	1-3	7%	15.29	—
Banker	Over 1.5	97%	1.03	—
Super single	2	63%	1.60	—

Form & head to head

VfB Stuttgart

L

0%

Form

5%

Attack

74%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 5

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

1. FC Köln

W

100%

Form

16%

Attack

89%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 2

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

25%

75%

Defence

29%

71%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

93%

7%

Goals

79%

21%

Overall

56%

43%

Head to head

7

Home wins

2

Draws

1

Away wins

4 Sep 26 VfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln

14 Feb 26 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 1. FC Köln

28 Sep 25 1. FC Köln 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart

24 Feb 24 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 1. FC Köln

30 Sep 23 1. FC Köln 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart

18 Feb 23 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 1. FC Köln

2.90 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

58%Ball Possession42%

22Total Shots18

8Shots on Goal5

10Corner Kicks8

5Fouls6

1Yellow Cards3

3Goalkeeper Saves4

3.47Expected goals (xG)2.86

Key events

39'⚽ B. El Khannouss Normal Goal
41'🟨 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Yellow Card
51'🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt Yellow Card
60'⚽ G. Promel Normal Goal
75'⚽ E. Demirovic Normal Goal
81'⚽ R. Hendriks Own Goal
85'🟨 Tom Krauß Yellow Card
86'🟨 Alessio Castro-Montes Yellow Card
90'⚽ J. Vagnoman Normal Goal

Match preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln: match preview

VfB Stuttgart host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2) at MHPArena on Friday 4 September, kick-off 19:30. The match finished 4-1.

Form guide

VfB Stuttgart have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded. 1. FC Köln have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for VfB Stuttgart and 4 for 1. FC Köln, 5.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 97% chance, over 2.5 91% and both teams to score 76%. The single most likely score is 1-3.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 7, 1. FC Köln won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.9 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 44% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (97%), Over 2.5 (91%), X2 (90%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: VfB Stuttgart 10%, draw 28%, 1. FC Köln 63%.
Expected goals: 1.5 vs 4.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
VfB Stuttgart have 0 clean sheets this season; 1. FC Köln have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : 1. FC Köln and +2.5 goals.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:44 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 44% confidence. Win probabilities are VfB Stuttgart 10%, draw 28% and 1. FC Köln 63%.

Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?

Our model gives both teams to score a 76% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 91% chance and the most likely score is 1-3.

When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?

Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:30, MHPArena, Stuttgart.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.