Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 1

Bayern München

5-1

FT

VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

📅 Fri 28 Aug 2026 🏟️ Allianz Arena, Munich 🧑‍⚖️ S. Storks

Prediction

● Live data

33%

Bayern München

60%

Draw

8%

VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München 33% · draw 60% · VfB Stuttgart 8%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 1%, BTTS at 3%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 85%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

X60%

Fair 1.67Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win33%

Fair 3.07Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win8%

Fair 13.22Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X92%

Fair 1.08Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB81%

Fair 1.23Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH17%

Fair 6.04Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.599%

Fair 1.01Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.5100%

Fair 1.00Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)97%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-067%

Fair 1.49Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.5100%

Fair 1.00Odds —

Super single

✕

X60%

Fair 1.67Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	60%	1.67	—
Home win	Home win	33%	3.07	—
Away win	Away win	8%	13.22	—
Double chance	1X	92%	1.08	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	81%	1.23	—
Win either half	Home WEH	17%	6.04	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	99%	1.01	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	100%	1.00	—
BTTS	NG (No)	97%	1.03	—
Correct score	0-0	67%	1.49	—
Banker	Under 3.5	100%	1.00	—
Super single	X	60%	1.67	—

Form & head to head

Bayern München

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

VfB Stuttgart

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

0%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

81%

19%

Overall

81%

19%

Head to head

9

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

28 Aug 26 Bayern München 5 - 1 VfB Stuttgart

23 May 26 Bayern München 3 - 0 VfB Stuttgart

19 Apr 26 Bayern München 4 - 2 VfB Stuttgart

6 Dec 25 VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern München

16 Aug 25 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Bayern München

28 Feb 25 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 Bayern München

4.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 10 of 10.

Match statistics

59%Ball Possession41%

21Total Shots11

9Shots on Goal4

9Corner Kicks3

10Fouls17

1Yellow Cards3

3Goalkeeper Saves5

4.06Expected goals (xG)0.79

Key events

21'⚽ D. Upamecano Normal Goal
52'⚽ J. Vagnoman Normal Goal
55'⚽ M. Olise Normal Goal
57'⚽ J. Vagnoman Own Goal
62'🟨 Jeff Chabot Yellow Card
64'📺 Michael Olise Goal cancelled
68'🟨 Finn Jeltsch Yellow Card
81'🟨 Kim Min-jae Yellow Card
82'⚽ A. Pavlovic Normal Goal
90'+3🟨 Grischa Prömel Yellow Card
90'⚽ L. Diaz Normal Goal

Match preview

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart: match preview

Bayern München host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 1) at Allianz Arena on Friday 28 August, kick-off 19:30. The match finished 5-1.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Bayern München and 0.2 for VfB Stuttgart, 0.40 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 6% chance, over 2.5 1% and both teams to score 3%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Bayern München won 9, VfB Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level, with 4.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 85% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (100%), Under 2.5 (99%), NG (No) (97%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Bayern München 33%, draw 60%, VfB Stuttgart 8%.
Expected goals: 0.2 vs 0.2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of the last 10 meetings.
Bayern München have 0 clean sheets this season; VfB Stuttgart have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Bayern München or draw.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 85% confidence. Win probabilities are Bayern München 33%, draw 60% and VfB Stuttgart 8%.

Will both teams score in Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our model gives both teams to score a 3% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?

We expect about 0.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 1% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart?

Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30, Allianz Arena, Munich.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.