La Liga· Spain · Regular Season - 4

Villarreal

2-3

FT

Deportivo La Coruna

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

📅 Sat 5 Sep 2026 🏟️ Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal 🧑‍⚖️ Jesus Gil Manzano

Prediction

● Live data

18%

Villarreal

34%

Draw

48%

Deportivo La Coruna

Villarreal 18% · draw 34% · Deportivo La Coruna 48%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 54%, BTTS at 56%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 72%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

248%

Fair 2.10Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win18%

Fair 5.59Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win48%

Fair 2.10Odds —

Double chance

✓

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB73%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH63%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.578%

Fair 1.29Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.568%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)56%

Fair 1.79Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-111%

Fair 8.84Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds —

Super single

✓

Away WEH63%

Fair 1.58Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	48%	2.10	—
Home win	Home win	18%	5.59	—
Away win	Away win	48%	2.10	—
Double chance	X2	82%	1.22	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	73%	1.38	—
Win either half	Away WEH	63%	1.58	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	78%	1.29	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	68%	1.47	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	56%	1.79	—
Correct score	1-1	11%	8.84	—
Banker	X2	82%	1.22	—
Super single	Away WEH	63%	1.58	—

Form & head to head

Villarreal

DDL

22%

Form

25%

Attack

69%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 5

Season W-D-L0-2-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Deportivo La Coruna

DDW

56%

Form

31%

Attack

81%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 3

Season W-D-L1-2-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

29%

71%

Attack

44%

56%

Defence

38%

63%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

42%

58%

Head to head

3

Home wins

4

Draws

3

Away wins

5 Sep 26 Villarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruna

12 May 18 Deportivo La Coruna 2 - 4 Villarreal

7 Jan 18 Villarreal 1 - 1 Deportivo La Coruna

14 May 17 Villarreal 0 - 0 Deportivo La Coruna

14 Jan 17 Deportivo La Coruna 0 - 0 Villarreal

8 May 16 Villarreal 0 - 2 Deportivo La Coruna

2.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

62%Ball Possession38%

17Total Shots8

5Shots on Goal3

7Corner Kicks1

14Fouls14

2Yellow Cards2

0Goalkeeper Saves4

1.14Expected goals (xG)0.79

Key events

19'⚽ N. Pepe Normal Goal
43'⚽ Cruz Luismi Normal Goal
76'⚽ A. Traore Own Goal
79'⚽ Z. Eddahchouri Normal Goal
81'🟨 Santi Comesaña Yellow Card
87'🟨 Tajon Buchanan Yellow Card
88'⚽ P. Aubameyang Normal Goal
90'+3🟨 Yeremay Hernández Yellow Card
90'+1🟨 Lorenzo Amatucci Yellow Card

Match preview

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: match preview

Villarreal host Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga (Regular Season - 4) at Estadio de la Cerámica on Saturday 5 September, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 2-3.

Form guide

Villarreal have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Deportivo La Coruna have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Villarreal and 1.7 for Deportivo La Coruna, 2.85 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 78% chance, over 2.5 54% and both teams to score 56%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Villarreal won 3, Deportivo La Coruna won 3 and 4 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 72% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (82%), Over 1.5 (78%), Away DNB (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Villarreal 18%, draw 34%, Deportivo La Coruna 48%.
Expected goals: 1.15 vs 1.7.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Villarreal have 0 clean sheets this season; Deportivo La Coruna have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo La Coruna.

See more La Liga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:45 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Villarreal 18%, draw 34% and Deportivo La Coruna 48%.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00, Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.