La Liga· Spain · Regular Season - 3

Racing Santander

3-2

FT

Elche

Racing Santander vs Elche prediction

📅 Fri 28 Aug 2026 🏟️ El Sardinero, Santander 🧑‍⚖️ Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Prediction

● Live data

53%

Racing Santander

33%

Draw

14%

Elche

Racing Santander 53% · draw 33% · Elche 14%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 70%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

153%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win53%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win14%

Fair 7.08Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X86%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-010%

Fair 10.04Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X86%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	53%	1.89	—
Home win	Home win	53%	1.89	—
Away win	Away win	14%	7.08	—
Double chance	1X	86%	1.16	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	79%	1.27	—
Win either half	Home WEH	72%	1.39	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.83	—
Correct score	1-0	10%	10.04	—
Banker	1X	86%	1.16	—
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Racing Santander

DL

17%

Form

15%

Attack

77%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 3

Season W-D-L0-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Elche

DL

17%

Form

8%

Attack

54%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 6

Season W-D-L0-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

67%

33%

Defence

67%

33%

Poisson model

44%

56%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

54%

45%

Head to head

3

Home wins

1

Draws

3

Away wins

28 Aug 26 Racing Santander 3 - 2 Elche

2 Mar 25 Racing Santander 2 - 0 Elche

19 Dec 24 Elche 3 - 0 Racing Santander

4 May 24 Racing Santander 3 - 1 Elche

2 Sep 23 Elche 1 - 1 Racing Santander

4 Jul 20 Racing Santander 1 - 2 Elche

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 7 · over 2.5 in 4 of 7.

Match statistics

40%Ball Possession60%

13Total Shots18

6Shots on Goal7

5Corner Kicks10

17Fouls19

2Yellow Cards1

5Goalkeeper Saves3

1.72Expected goals (xG)1.03

Key events

15'⚽ Y. Zabiri Normal Goal
21'⚽ Y. Zabiri Normal Goal
36'⚽ Y. Zabiri Normal Goal
43'🟨 Facundo González Yellow Card
45'🟨 Alvaro Mantilla Yellow Card
63'🟨 Facundo Buonanotte Yellow Card
78'⚽ Buba Sangare Normal Goal
79'⚽ F. Nino Normal Goal

Match preview

Racing Santander vs Elche: match preview

Racing Santander host Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 3) at El Sardinero on Friday 28 August, kick-off 18:00. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Racing Santander have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Elche have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. At home this season Racing Santander have 0 wins from 1 game, while Elche have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Racing Santander and 1 for Elche, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 7 meetings, Racing Santander won 3, Elche won 3 and 1 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 70% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (86%), Over 1.5 (80%), Home DNB (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Racing Santander 53%, draw 33%, Elche 14%.
Expected goals: 2 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 7 meetings.
Racing Santander have 0 clean sheets this season; Elche have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Racing Santander or draw.

See more La Liga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 70% confidence. Win probabilities are Racing Santander 53%, draw 33% and Elche 14%.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Elche?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Racing Santander vs Elche?

Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00, El Sardinero, Santander.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.