La Liga· Spain · Regular Season - 2

Elche

0-5

FT

Barcelona

Elche vs Barcelona prediction

📅 Sun 23 Aug 2026 🏟️ Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche 🧑‍⚖️ Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Prediction

● Live data

13%

Elche

48%

Draw

38%

Barcelona

Elche 13% · draw 48% · Barcelona 38%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 8%, BTTS at 15%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 86%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

X48%

Fair 2.07Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win13%

Fair 7.49Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win38%

Fair 2.61Odds —

Double chance

✓

X287%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH32%

Fair 3.10Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.574%

Fair 1.36Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.592%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.598%

Fair 1.02Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

NG (No)85%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-037%

Fair 2.72Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.598%

Fair 1.02Odds —

Super single

✕

X48%

Fair 2.07Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	48%	2.07	—
Home win	Home win	13%	7.49	—
Away win	Away win	38%	2.61	—
Double chance	X2	87%	1.15	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	74%	1.35	—
Win either half	Home WEH	32%	3.10	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	74%	1.36	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	92%	1.09	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	98%	1.02	—
BTTS	NG (No)	85%	1.18	—
Correct score	0-0	37%	2.72	—
Banker	Under 3.5	98%	1.02	—
Super single	X	48%	2.07	—

Form & head to head

Elche

D

33%

Form

8%

Attack

92%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 1

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Barcelona

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

100%

0%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

17%

83%

Overall

17%

83%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

10

Away wins

23 Aug 26 Elche 0 - 5 Barcelona

31 Jan 26 Elche 1 - 3 Barcelona

2 Nov 25 Barcelona 3 - 1 Elche

1 Apr 23 Elche 0 - 4 Barcelona

17 Sep 22 Barcelona 3 - 0 Elche

6 Mar 22 Elche 1 - 2 Barcelona

3.90 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 9 of 10.

Match statistics

46%Ball Possession54%

7Total Shots11

2Shots on Goal7

3Corner Kicks1

13Fouls12

1Yellow Cards0

2Goalkeeper Saves2

0.70Expected goals (xG)4.38

Key events

14'⚽ Raphinha Penalty
33'🟨 Ali Houary Yellow Card
45'⚽ K. Adeyemi Normal Goal
67'⚽ Raphinha Normal Goal
71'⚽ Fermin Normal Goal
79'⚽ Fermin Normal Goal

Match preview

Elche vs Barcelona: match preview

Elche host Barcelona in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on Sunday 23 August, kick-off 20:30. The match finished 0-5.

Form guide

Elche have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Elche and 0.5 for Barcelona, 1.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 26% chance, over 2.5 8% and both teams to score 15%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Elche won 0, Barcelona won 10 and 0 ended level, with 3.9 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 86% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (98%), Under 2.5 (92%), X2 (87%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Elche 13%, draw 48%, Barcelona 38%.
Expected goals: 0.5 vs 0.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Elche have 0 clean sheets this season; Barcelona have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barcelona and -2.5 goals.

See more La Liga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elche vs Barcelona?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 86% confidence. Win probabilities are Elche 13%, draw 48% and Barcelona 38%.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Barcelona?

Our model gives both teams to score a 15% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Elche vs Barcelona?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 8% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Elche vs Barcelona?

Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:30, Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.