Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 7

Charleroi

3-2

FT

Cercle Brugge

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge prediction

📅 Sat 19 Sep 2026 🏟️ Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi 🧑‍⚖️ A. Letellier

Prediction

● Live data

51%

Charleroi

34%

Draw

15%

Cercle Brugge

Charleroi 51% · draw 34% · Cercle Brugge 15%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 52%, BTTS at 52%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

151%

Fair 1.96Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win51%

Fair 1.96Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win15%

Fair 6.64Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X85%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB77%

Fair 1.30Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH68%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.552%

Fair 1.91Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.570%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)52%

Fair 1.93Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-011%

Fair 8.87Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X85%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 2.552%

Fair 1.91Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	51%	1.96	—
Home win	Home win	51%	1.96	—
Away win	Away win	15%	6.64	—
Double chance	1X	85%	1.18	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	77%	1.30	—
Win either half	Home WEH	68%	1.46	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	76%	1.31	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	52%	1.91	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	70%	1.43	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	52%	1.93	—
Correct score	1-0	11%	8.87	—
Banker	1X	85%	1.18	—
Super single	Over 2.5	52%	1.91	—

Form & head to head

Charleroi

WWWLW

80%

Form

82%

Attack

64%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 4

Season W-D-L5-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Cercle Brugge

DLLLD

13%

Form

36%

Attack

18%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 9

Season W-D-L0-3-3

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 3

Team comparison

Form

86%

14%

Attack

69%

31%

Defence

69%

31%

Poisson model

63%

37%

Head to head

38%

62%

Goals

44%

56%

Overall

61%

38%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

19 Sep 26 Charleroi 3 - 2 Cercle Brugge

7 Feb 26 Charleroi 3 - 4 Cercle Brugge

14 Sep 25 Cercle Brugge 2 - 3 Charleroi

25 Jan 25 Charleroi 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge

3 Nov 24 Cercle Brugge 2 - 0 Charleroi

9 Mar 24 Charleroi 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge

3.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

64%Ball Possession36%

14Total Shots7

7Shots on Goal6

3Corner Kicks2

15Fouls14

2Yellow Cards1

4Goalkeeper Saves4

2.04Expected goals (xG)2.08

Key events

15'⚽ F. Mbemba Normal Goal
25'⚽ A. Scheidler Normal Goal
30'⚽ D. Vanzeir Normal Goal
61'⚽ A. Scheidler Penalty
70'📺 Viggo Martens Penalty confirmed
73'⚽ S. Ngoura Penalty
82'🟨 Yassine Khalifi Yellow Card
82'🟨 Ibrahim Diakité Yellow Card
90'+2🟨 Aiham Ousou Yellow Card

Match preview

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge: match preview

Charleroi host Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 7) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi on Saturday 19 September, kick-off 17:15. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Charleroi have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Cercle Brugge have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season Charleroi have 2 wins from 3 games, while Cercle Brugge have won 0 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for Charleroi and 0.97 for Cercle Brugge, 2.77 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 52% and both teams to score 52%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Charleroi won 4, Cercle Brugge won 4 and 2 ended level, with 3.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 73% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (85%), Home DNB (77%), Over 1.5 (76%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Charleroi 51%, draw 34%, Cercle Brugge 15%.
Expected goals: 1.8 vs 0.97.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Charleroi have 3 clean sheets this season; Cercle Brugge have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Charleroi or draw.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:44 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Charleroi 51%, draw 34% and Cercle Brugge 15%.

Will both teams score in Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:15, Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.