Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 6

Union St. Gilloise

5-0

FT

Lommel United

Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United prediction

📅 Sat 12 Sep 2026 🏟️ Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels 🧑‍⚖️ Y. Araki

Prediction

● Live data

49%

Union St. Gilloise

37%

Draw

15%

Lommel United

Union St. Gilloise 49% · draw 37% · Lommel United 15%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 34%, BTTS at 37%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

149%

Fair 2.05Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win49%

Fair 2.05Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win15%

Fair 6.81Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X85%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB77%

Fair 1.30Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH62%

Fair 1.62Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.561%

Fair 1.65Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.566%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.585%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

NG (No)63%

Fair 1.59Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-017%

Fair 5.75Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X85%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 2.566%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	49%	2.05	—
Home win	Home win	49%	2.05	—
Away win	Away win	15%	6.81	—
Double chance	1X	85%	1.17	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	77%	1.30	—
Win either half	Home WEH	62%	1.62	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	61%	1.65	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	66%	1.51	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	85%	1.18	—
BTTS	NG (No)	63%	1.59	—
Correct score	1-0	17%	5.75	—
Banker	1X	85%	1.17	—
Super single	Under 2.5	66%	1.51	—

Form & head to head

Union St. Gilloise

WDWWW

87%

Form

100%

Attack

75%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)14 / 3

Season W-D-L4-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 1

Lommel United

DLWWL

47%

Form

50%

Attack

75%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 3

Season W-D-L2-1-2

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Team comparison

Form

65%

35%

Attack

70%

30%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

100%

0%

Head to head

93%

7%

Goals

67%

33%

Overall

69%

31%

Head to head

7

Home wins

3

Draws

0

Away wins

12 Sep 26 Union St. Gilloise 5 - 0 Lommel United

11 Apr 21 Lommel United 0 - 2 Union St. Gilloise

27 Feb 21 Union St. Gilloise 3 - 2 Lommel United

13 Dec 20 Lommel United 0 - 1 Union St. Gilloise

4 Oct 20 Union St. Gilloise 4 - 2 Lommel United

26 Jan 20 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 2 Lommel United

3.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

51%Ball Possession49%

28Total Shots11

12Shots on Goal4

6Corner Kicks4

9Fouls3

2Yellow Cards0

4Goalkeeper Saves6

3.27Expected goals (xG)0.65

Key events

4'⚽ B. Zeneli Normal Goal
7'⚽ R. Mofokeng Normal Goal
42'🟨 Massire Sylla Yellow Card
52'🟨 Louis Patris Yellow Card
65'⚽ I. Hurtevent Normal Goal
88'⚽ R. Florucz Normal Goal
90'+3📺 Raul Florucz Goal confirmed
90'⚽ R. Florucz Normal Goal

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United: match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 6) at Stade Joseph Marien on Saturday 12 September, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 5-0.

Form guide

Union St. Gilloise have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Lommel United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home this season Union St. Gilloise have 1 win from 2 games, while Lommel United have won 1 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Union St. Gilloise and 0.7 for Lommel United, 2.05 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 61% chance, over 2.5 34% and both teams to score 37%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 7, Lommel United won 0 and 3 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 76% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (85%), Under 3.5 (85%), Home DNB (77%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Union St. Gilloise 49%, draw 37%, Lommel United 15%.
Expected goals: 1.35 vs 0.7.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Union St. Gilloise have 3 clean sheets this season; Lommel United have 2.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Union St. Gilloise or draw and -3.5 goals.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:44 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Union St. Gilloise 49%, draw 37% and Lommel United 15%.

Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

Our model gives both teams to score a 37% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45, Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.