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Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 4
Antwerp logo

Antwerp

1-4
FT
St. Truiden logo

St. Truiden

Antwerp vs St. Truiden prediction

📅 Sun 30 Aug 2026 🏟️ Bosuilstadion, Deurne 🧑‍⚖️ B. Van Driessche

Prediction

● Live data
48%
Antwerp
32%
Draw
20%
St. Truiden

Antwerp 48% · draw 32% · St. Truiden 20%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 2-2, over 2.5 at 85%, BTTS at 81%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 73%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
148%
Fair 2.07Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win48%
Fair 2.07Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win20%
Fair 4.96Odds —

Double chance

✕
1X80%
Fair 1.25Odds —

Draw no bet

✕
Home DNB71%
Fair 1.42Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH68%
Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.595%
Fair 1.05Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.585%
Fair 1.17Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓
Over 3.570%
Fair 1.44Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)81%
Fair 1.23Odds —

Correct score

✕
2-27%
Fair 14.98Odds —

Banker tip

✓
Over 1.595%
Fair 1.05Odds —

Super single

✕
148%
Fair 2.07Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2148%2.07—
Home winHome win48%2.07—
Away winAway win20%4.96—
Double chance1X80%1.25—
Draw no betHome DNB71%1.42—
Win either halfHome WEH68%1.47—
Over 1.5Over 1.595%1.05—
Over 2.5Over 2.585%1.17—
Under 3.5Over 3.570%1.44—
BTTSGG (Yes)81%1.23—
Correct score2-27%14.98—
BankerOver 1.595%1.05—
Super single148%2.07—

Form & head to head

Antwerp

WWD
78%
Form
60%
Attack
67%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 5
Season W-D-L2-1-0
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

St. Truiden

DD
33%
Form
27%
Attack
73%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 4
Season W-D-L0-2-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form
78%
22%
Attack
69%
31%
Defence
44%
56%
Poisson model
47%
53%
Head to head
71%
29%
Goals
67%
33%
Overall
62%
37%

Head to head

5
Home wins
3
Draws
2
Away wins
30 Aug 26 Antwerp 1 - 4 St. Truiden
28 Feb 26 Antwerp 1 - 0 St. Truiden
3 Dec 25 Antwerp 3 - 3 St. Truiden
2 Nov 25 St. Truiden 1 - 0 Antwerp
24 Jan 25 St. Truiden 1 - 1 Antwerp
11 Aug 24 Antwerp 6 - 1 St. Truiden

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

58%Ball Possession42%
18Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal7
6Corner Kicks1
15Fouls8
1Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves7
0.77Expected goals (xG)3.38

Key events

  1. 2'🟨 Luca Schelfhout Yellow Card
  2. 9'⚽ R. Araki Normal Goal
  3. 28'🟨 Léo Kokubo Yellow Card
  4. 58'⚽ S. Porozo Normal Goal
  5. 73'⚽ S. Bazdar Normal Goal
  6. 74'📺 Samed Baždar Goal confirmed
  7. 76'⚽ K. Matsuzawa Normal Goal
  8. 78'🟨 Ryan Merlen Yellow Card
  9. 79'🟨 Samed Baždar Yellow Card
  10. 90'⚽ S. Bazdar Normal Goal

Match preview

Antwerp vs St. Truiden: match preview

Antwerp host St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 4) at Bosuilstadion on Sunday 30 August, kick-off 15:00. The match finished 1-4.

Form guide

Antwerp have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. St. Truiden have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Antwerp have 1 win from 2 games, while St. Truiden have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.67 goals for Antwerp and 2.07 for St. Truiden, 4.74 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 95% chance, over 2.5 85% and both teams to score 81%. The single most likely score is 2-2.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Antwerp won 5, St. Truiden won 2 and 3 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 73% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (95%), Over 2.5 (85%), GG (Yes) (81%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Antwerp 48%, draw 32%, St. Truiden 20%.
  • Expected goals: 2.67 vs 2.07.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Antwerp have 1 clean sheets this season; St. Truiden have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Antwerp or draw and +3.5 goals.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Antwerp 48%, draw 32% and St. Truiden 20%.
Will both teams score in Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Our model gives both teams to score a 81% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 85% chance and the most likely score is 2-2.
When and where is Antwerp vs St. Truiden?
Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00, Bosuilstadion, Deurne.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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