Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 2

KV Mechelen

3-3

FT

Standard Liege

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege prediction

📅 Sun 16 Aug 2026 🏟️ Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen 🧑‍⚖️ B. Van Driessche

Prediction

● Live data

14%

KV Mechelen

33%

Draw

53%

Standard Liege

KV Mechelen 14% · draw 33% · Standard Liege 53%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 50%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

253%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win14%

Fair 7.08Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win53%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Double chance

✓

X286%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-110%

Fair 10.04Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X286%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	53%	1.89	—
Home win	Home win	14%	7.08	—
Away win	Away win	53%	1.89	—
Double chance	X2	86%	1.16	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	79%	1.27	—
Win either half	Away WEH	72%	1.39	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.83	—
Correct score	0-1	10%	10.04	—
Banker	X2	86%	1.16	—
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

KV Mechelen

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

87%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Standard Liege

D

33%

Form

13%

Attack

87%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 2

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

36%

64%

Goals

43%

57%

Overall

43%

57%

Head to head

2

Home wins

7

Draws

1

Away wins

16 Aug 26 KV Mechelen 3 - 3 Standard Liege

28 Nov 25 KV Mechelen 0 - 1 Standard Liege

12 Sep 25 Standard Liege 1 - 1 KV Mechelen

10 May 25 KV Mechelen 0 - 0 Standard Liege

29 Mar 25 Standard Liege 2 - 2 KV Mechelen

26 Dec 24 KV Mechelen 0 - 0 Standard Liege

2.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

53%Ball Possession47%

19Total Shots16

4Shots on Goal7

5Corner Kicks2

8Fouls17

0Yellow Cards3

4Goalkeeper Saves1

2.75Expected goals (xG)1.64

Key events

9'⚽ B. Nguene Normal Goal
24'⚽ A. Abid Normal Goal
33'🟨 Gustav Mortensen Yellow Card
45'⚽ T. Koudou Normal Goal
65'⚽ A. Abid Normal Goal
85'📺 José Marsà Penalty confirmed
89'⚽ M. van Brederode Penalty
90'+7📺 Adeshina Ayodele Penalty confirmed
90'+11🟨 Matthieu Epolo Yellow Card
90'+5🟨 Ryan Fosso Yellow Card
90'⚽ M. van Brederode Penalty

Match preview

KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege: match preview

KV Mechelen host Standard Liege in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 2) at Achter de Kazerne on Sunday 16 August, kick-off 17:30. The match finished 3-3.

Form guide

KV Mechelen have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Standard Liege have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for KV Mechelen and 2 for Standard Liege, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, KV Mechelen won 2, Standard Liege won 1 and 7 ended level, with 2.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 50% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (86%), Over 1.5 (80%), Away DNB (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: KV Mechelen 14%, draw 33%, Standard Liege 53%.
Expected goals: 1 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
KV Mechelen have 0 clean sheets this season; Standard Liege have 0.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Standard Liege.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:44 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 50% confidence. Win probabilities are KV Mechelen 14%, draw 33% and Standard Liege 53%.

Will both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30, Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.