Jupiler Pro League· Belgium · Regular Season - 2

Genk

3-2

FT

KVC Westerlo

Genk vs KVC Westerlo prediction

📅 Sat 15 Aug 2026 🏟️ Cegeka Arena, Genk 🧑‍⚖️ L. Visser

Prediction

● Live data

56%

Genk

30%

Draw

13%

KVC Westerlo

Genk 56% · draw 30% · KVC Westerlo 13%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 83%, BTTS at 74%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 77%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

156%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win56%

Fair 1.77Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win13%

Fair 7.52Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X87%

Fair 1.15Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB81%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH80%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)74%

Fair 1.36Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-17%

Fair 13.34Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.594%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 3.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	56%	1.77	—
Home win	Home win	56%	1.77	—
Away win	Away win	13%	7.52	—
Double chance	1X	87%	1.15	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	81%	1.24	—
Win either half	Home WEH	80%	1.25	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	83%	1.21	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	66%	1.52	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	74%	1.36	—
Correct score	2-1	7%	13.34	—
Banker	Over 1.5	94%	1.07	—
Super single	Over 3.5	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Genk

L

0%

Form

7%

Attack

87%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

KVC Westerlo

L

0%

Form

7%

Attack

67%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 5

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

Attack

50%

Defence

71%

29%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

93%

7%

Goals

75%

25%

Overall

72%

27%

Head to head

7

Home wins

3

Draws

0

Away wins

15 Aug 26 Genk 3 - 2 KVC Westerlo

10 May 26 Genk 3 - 0 KVC Westerlo

18 Apr 26 KVC Westerlo 1 - 2 Genk

14 Dec 25 Genk 1 - 1 KVC Westerlo

2 Nov 25 KVC Westerlo 0 - 1 Genk

25 Jan 25 KVC Westerlo 1 - 2 Genk

3.10 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

51%Ball Possession49%

22Total Shots12

7Shots on Goal2

8Corner Kicks4

15Fouls14

3Yellow Cards3

1Goalkeeper Saves4

4.24Expected goals (xG)0.85

Key events

6'⚽ D. Ourega Normal Goal
8'🟨 Rafiu Durosinmi Yellow Card
13'⚽ M. Smets Own Goal
36'🟨 Jeppe Erenbjerg Yellow Card
41'⚽ R. Durosinmi Penalty
43'⚽ B. Heynen Normal Goal
61'🟨 Cameron Congreve Yellow Card
74'🟨 Reda Laalaoui Yellow Card
77'🟨 David Amegnaglo Yellow Card
79'⚽ A. Bibout Normal Goal
87'🟨 Kenan Haroun Yellow Card

Match preview

Genk vs KVC Westerlo: match preview

Genk host KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 2) at Cegeka Arena on Saturday 15 August, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Genk have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. KVC Westerlo have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Genk and 1.5 for KVC Westerlo, 4.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 94% chance, over 2.5 83% and both teams to score 74%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Genk won 7, KVC Westerlo won 0 and 3 ended level, with 3.1 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 77% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (94%), 1X (87%), Over 2.5 (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Genk 56%, draw 30%, KVC Westerlo 13%.
Expected goals: 3 vs 1.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Genk have 0 clean sheets this season; KVC Westerlo have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Genk or draw and +1.5 goals.

See more Jupiler Pro League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs KVC Westerlo?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 77% confidence. Win probabilities are Genk 56%, draw 30% and KVC Westerlo 13%.

Will both teams score in Genk vs KVC Westerlo?

Our model gives both teams to score a 74% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Genk vs KVC Westerlo?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 83% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.

When and where is Genk vs KVC Westerlo?

Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:45, Cegeka Arena, Genk.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.