Premier League· England · Regular Season - 5

Tottenham

2-3

FT

Aston Villa

Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction

📅 Sat 19 Sep 2026 🏟️ Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London 🧑‍⚖️ Samuel Barrott, England

Prediction

● Live data

26%

Tottenham

40%

Draw

35%

Aston Villa

Tottenham 26% · draw 40% · Aston Villa 35%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 22%, BTTS at 29%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 70%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

X40%

Fair 2.51Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win26%

Fair 3.91Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win35%

Fair 2.89Odds —

Double chance

✓

X274%

Fair 1.34Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB57%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH50%

Fair 2.00Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.552%

Fair 1.91Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.578%

Fair 1.28Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.592%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)71%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-020%

Fair 4.95Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.592%

Fair 1.09Odds —

Super single

✓

Away DNB57%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	X	40%	2.51	—
Home win	Home win	26%	3.91	—
Away win	Away win	35%	2.89	—
Double chance	X2	74%	1.34	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	57%	1.74	—
Win either half	Home WEH	50%	2.00	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	52%	1.91	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	78%	1.28	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	92%	1.09	—
BTTS	NG (No)	71%	1.41	—
Correct score	0-0	20%	4.95	—
Banker	Under 3.5	92%	1.09	—
Super single	Away DNB	57%	1.74	—

Form & head to head

Tottenham

LLDD

17%

Form

0%

Attack

69%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 5

Season W-D-L0-2-2

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 4

Aston Villa

LLDL

8%

Form

6%

Attack

56%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 7

Season W-D-L0-1-3

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 3

Team comparison

Form

67%

33%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

58%

42%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

20%

80%

Goals

36%

64%

Overall

45%

54%

Head to head

3

Home wins

0

Draws

7

Away wins

19 Sep 26 Tottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa

3 May 26 Aston Villa 1 - 2 Tottenham

10 Jan 26 Tottenham 1 - 2 Aston Villa

19 Oct 25 Tottenham 1 - 2 Aston Villa

16 May 25 Aston Villa 2 - 0 Tottenham

9 Feb 25 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Tottenham

3.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 8 of 10 · over 2.5 in 9 of 10.

Match statistics

64%Ball Possession36%

20Total Shots15

7Shots on Goal6

11Corner Kicks1

9Fouls13

1Yellow Cards2

3Goalkeeper Saves5

1.56Expected goals (xG)1.16

Key events

45'+7🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke Yellow Card
45'⚽ J. Manzambi Normal Goal
46'🟨 Nicolas Jackson Yellow Card
60'📺 Mohammed Kudus Goal cancelled
67'⚽ N. Jackson Normal Goal
79'⚽ E. Buendia Normal Goal
86'⚽ C. Gallagher Normal Goal
90'+2🟨 Matty Cash Yellow Card
90'⚽ J. P. van Hecke Normal Goal

Match preview

Tottenham vs Aston Villa: match preview

Tottenham host Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 5) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday 19 September, kick-off 12:30. The match finished 2-3.

Form guide

Tottenham have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 league games, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Aston Villa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 league games, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season Tottenham have 0 wins from 2 games, while Aston Villa have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Tottenham and 0.65 for Aston Villa, 1.60 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 48% chance, over 2.5 22% and both teams to score 29%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Tottenham won 3, Aston Villa won 7 and 0 ended level, with 3.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 8.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 70% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (92%), Under 2.5 (78%), X2 (74%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Tottenham 26%, draw 40%, Aston Villa 35%.
Expected goals: 0.95 vs 0.65.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of the last 10 meetings.
Tottenham have 2 clean sheets this season; Aston Villa have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aston Villa and -3.5 goals.

See more Premier League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:35 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 70% confidence. Win probabilities are Tottenham 26%, draw 40% and Aston Villa 35%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Our model gives both teams to score a 29% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 22% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Tottenham vs Aston Villa?

Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.