UEFA Europa Conference League· World · 2nd Qualifying Round

Dukagjini

1-5

FT

FC Lugano

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano prediction

📅 Wed 29 Jul 2026 🏟️ Kampi Nacional Hajvalia, Hajvalia 🧑‍⚖️ K. Roucek

Prediction

● Live data

4%

Dukagjini

43%

Draw

53%

FC Lugano

Dukagjini 4% · draw 43% · FC Lugano 53%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 12%, BTTS at 11%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 53%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

253%

Fair 1.88Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win4%

Fair 27.27Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win53%

Fair 1.88Odds —

Double chance

✓

X296%

Fair 1.04Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB94%

Fair 1.07Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH60%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕

Under 1.566%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.588%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.597%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)89%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-030%

Fair 3.32Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.597%

Fair 1.03Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 1.566%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	53%	1.88	—
Home win	Home win	4%	27.27	—
Away win	Away win	53%	1.88	—
Double chance	X2	96%	1.04	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	94%	1.07	—
Win either half	Away WEH	60%	1.68	—
Over 1.5	Under 1.5	66%	1.51	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	88%	1.14	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	97%	1.03	—
BTTS	NG (No)	89%	1.13	—
Correct score	0-0	30%	3.32	—
Banker	Under 3.5	97%	1.03	—
Super single	Under 1.5	66%	1.51	—

Form & head to head

Dukagjini

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

93%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 1

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

FC Lugano

W

100%

Form

7%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)1 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

0%

100%

Overall

0%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

2

Away wins

29 Jul 26 Dukagjini 1 - 5 FC Lugano

23 Jul 26 FC Lugano 1 - 0 Dukagjini

3.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match statistics

37%Ball Possession63%

9Total Shots12

4Shots on Goal7

1Corner Kicks5

16Fouls16

3Goalkeeper Saves3

Key events

6'⚽ K. Behrens Normal Goal
9'⚽ D. Dos Santos Normal Goal
10'⚽ M. Maliqi Normal Goal
36'⚽ K. Behrens Normal Goal
51'⚽ E. Sinani Own Goal
58'⚽ K. Behrens Normal Goal

Match preview

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano: match preview

Dukagjini host FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round) at Kampi Nacional Hajvalia on Wednesday 29 July, kick-off 15:30. The match finished 1-5.

Form guide

Dukagjini have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. FC Lugano have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Dukagjini and 1 for FC Lugano, 1.20 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 34% chance, over 2.5 12% and both teams to score 11%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Dukagjini won 0, FC Lugano won 2 and 0 ended level, with 3.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 53% confidence. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (97%), X2 (96%), Away DNB (94%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Dukagjini 4%, draw 43%, FC Lugano 53%.
Expected goals: 0.2 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Dukagjini have 0 clean sheets this season; FC Lugano have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Lugano and -2.5 goals.

See more UEFA Europa Conference League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:41 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 53% confidence. Win probabilities are Dukagjini 4%, draw 43% and FC Lugano 53%.

Will both teams score in Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Our model gives both teams to score a 11% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 1.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 12% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.

When and where is Dukagjini vs FC Lugano?

Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 15:30, Kampi Nacional Hajvalia, Hajvalia.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.