UEFA Champions League· World · 1st Qualifying Round

Shamrock Rovers

5-1

FT

Floriana

Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana prediction

📅 Tue 14 Jul 2026 🏟️ Tallaght Stadium, Dublin 🧑‍⚖️ Joakim Ostling, Sweden

Prediction

● Live data

1%

Shamrock Rovers

33%

Draw

66%

Floriana

Shamrock Rovers 1% · draw 33% · Floriana 66%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 38%, BTTS at 16%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 30%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

266%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win1%

Fair 67.58Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win66%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Double chance

✕

X299%

Fair 1.02Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB98%

Fair 1.02Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH84%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.582%

Fair 1.22Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)84%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-122%

Fair 4.51Odds —

Banker tip

✕

X299%

Fair 1.02Odds —

Super single

✕

266%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	66%	1.53	—
Home win	Home win	1%	67.58	—
Away win	Away win	66%	1.53	—
Double chance	X2	99%	1.02	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	98%	1.02	—
Win either half	Away WEH	84%	1.20	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	65%	1.55	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	82%	1.22	—
BTTS	NG (No)	84%	1.19	—
Correct score	0-1	22%	4.51	—
Banker	X2	99%	1.02	—
Super single	2	66%	1.53	—

Form & head to head

Shamrock Rovers

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

90%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Floriana

W

100%

Form

10%

Attack

100%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 0

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Team comparison

Form

0%

100%

Attack

0%

100%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

0%

100%

Overall

0%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

14 Jul 26 Shamrock Rovers 5 - 1 Floriana

7 Jul 26 Floriana 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers

4.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match statistics

56%Ball Possession44%

21Total Shots6

14Shots on Goal1

6Corner Kicks2

3Yellow Cards1

Key events

7'⚽ L. Grace Normal Goal
13'⚽ T. Gudelj Normal Goal
29'⚽ D. Watts Normal Goal
48'⚽ J. McGovern Normal Goal
61'⚽ G. Burke Normal Goal
68'🟨 John McGovern Yellow Card
73'⚽ J. Byrne Normal Goal
75'🟨 Dylan Watts Yellow Card
81'🟨 Dunstan Vella Yellow Card
82'🟨 Naj Razi Yellow Card

Match preview

Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana: match preview

Shamrock Rovers host Floriana in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round) at Tallaght Stadium on Tuesday 14 July, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 5-1.

Form guide

Shamrock Rovers have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Floriana have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.2 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 2 for Floriana, 2.20 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 65% chance, over 2.5 38% and both teams to score 16%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 1, Floriana won 1 and 0 ended level, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 30% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (99%), Away DNB (98%), NG (No) (84%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 1%, draw 33%, Floriana 66%.
Expected goals: 0.2 vs 2.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Shamrock Rovers have 0 clean sheets this season; Floriana have 1.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Floriana and -3.5 goals.

See more UEFA Champions League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:36 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 30% confidence. Win probabilities are Shamrock Rovers 1%, draw 33% and Floriana 66%.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?

Our model gives both teams to score a 16% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 38% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?

Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 20:00, Tallaght Stadium, Dublin.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.