Ligue 1· France · Regular Season - 2

Stade Brestois 29

2-2

FT

Toulouse

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse prediction

📅 Sat 29 Aug 2026 🏟️ Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest 🧑‍⚖️ Jérôme Brisard, France

Prediction

● Live data

53%

Stade Brestois 29

33%

Draw

14%

Toulouse

Stade Brestois 29 53% · draw 33% · Toulouse 14%. We pick 1 (Home Win). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Home Win · 1

1 Confidence 49%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

153%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win53%

Fair 1.89Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win14%

Fair 7.08Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X86%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Home DNB79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-010%

Fair 10.04Odds —

Banker tip

✓

1X86%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Super single

✕

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	53%	1.89	—
Home win	Home win	53%	1.89	—
Away win	Away win	14%	7.08	—
Double chance	1X	86%	1.16	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	79%	1.27	—
Win either half	Home WEH	72%	1.39	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	55%	1.83	—
Correct score	1-0	10%	10.04	—
Banker	1X	86%	1.16	—
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Stade Brestois 29

D

33%

Form

14%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 2

Season W-D-L0-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Toulouse

L

0%

Form

0%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 2

Season W-D-L0-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

100%

0%

Defence

50%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

60%

40%

Goals

60%

40%

Overall

56%

43%

Head to head

5

Home wins

3

Draws

2

Away wins

29 Aug 26 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Toulouse

25 Jan 26 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 2 Toulouse

24 Aug 25 Toulouse 2 - 0 Stade Brestois 29

30 Mar 25 Toulouse 2 - 4 Stade Brestois 29

22 Sep 24 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0 Toulouse

19 May 24 Toulouse 0 - 3 Stade Brestois 29

3.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 5 of 10.

Match statistics

51%Ball Possession49%

27Total Shots6

7Shots on Goal2

7Corner Kicks2

19Fouls18

2Yellow Cards3

0Goalkeeper Saves5

3.04Expected goals (xG)1.14

Key events

9'⚽ J. Russell-Rowe Normal Goal
18'⚽ K. Doumbia Normal Goal
31'🟨 Bradley Locko Yellow Card
44'🟨 Pathé Mboup Yellow Card
45'+3🟨 Cristian Cásseres Jr. Yellow Card
62'⚽ C. Tape Normal Goal
89'🟨 Niklas Schmidt Yellow Card
90'+4🟨 Rasmus Nicolaisen Yellow Card
90'⚽ L. Ajorque Normal Goal

Match preview

Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse: match preview

Stade Brestois 29 host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2) at Stade Francis-Le-Blé on Saturday 29 August, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 2-2.

Form guide

Stade Brestois 29 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Toulouse have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 league game, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Stade Brestois 29 and 1 for Toulouse, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 5, Toulouse won 2 and 3 ended level, with 3.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Home Win (1) at 49% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (86%), Over 1.5 (80%), Home DNB (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Stade Brestois 29 53%, draw 33%, Toulouse 14%.
Expected goals: 2 vs 1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Stade Brestois 29 have 0 clean sheets this season; Toulouse have 0.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Stade Brestois 29.

See more Ligue 1 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:44 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

Our main pick is Home Win (1) with 49% confidence. Win probabilities are Stade Brestois 29 53%, draw 33% and Toulouse 14%.

Will both teams score in Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse?

Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45, Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.