Eredivisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 3

PSV Eindhoven

5-1

FT

Groningen

PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen prediction

📅 Sun 23 Aug 2026 🏟️ Philips Stadion, Eindhoven 🧑‍⚖️ Allard Lindhout, Netherlands

Prediction

● Live data

18%

PSV Eindhoven

33%

Draw

50%

Groningen

PSV Eindhoven 18% · draw 33% · Groningen 50%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 1-2, over 2.5 at 72%, BTTS at 69%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Away Win · 2

2 Confidence 49%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

250%

Fair 2.01Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win18%

Fair 5.66Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win50%

Fair 2.01Odds —

Double chance

✕

X282%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH69%

Fair 1.45Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.589%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.572%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Over 3.552%

Fair 1.94Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)69%

Fair 1.44Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-29%

Fair 11.20Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.589%

Fair 1.13Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 3.552%

Fair 1.94Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	50%	2.01	—
Home win	Home win	18%	5.66	—
Away win	Away win	50%	2.01	—
Double chance	X2	82%	1.21	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	74%	1.35	—
Win either half	Away WEH	69%	1.45	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	89%	1.13	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.38	—
Under 3.5	Over 3.5	52%	1.94	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	69%	1.44	—
Correct score	1-2	9%	11.20	—
Banker	Over 1.5	89%	1.13	—
Super single	Over 3.5	52%	1.94	—

Form & head to head

PSV Eindhoven

DW

67%

Form

22%

Attack

83%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 3

Season W-D-L1-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Groningen

WW

100%

Form

33%

Attack

89%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 2

Season W-D-L2-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

40%

60%

Attack

40%

60%

Defence

40%

60%

Poisson model

25%

75%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

83%

17%

Overall

45%

54%

Head to head

9

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

23 Aug 26 PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Groningen

8 Feb 26 Groningen 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven

23 Aug 25 PSV Eindhoven 4 - 2 Groningen

5 Apr 25 Groningen 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven

23 Nov 24 PSV Eindhoven 5 - 0 Groningen

11 Feb 23 PSV Eindhoven 6 - 0 Groningen

4.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 8 of 10.

Match statistics

62%Ball Possession38%

24Total Shots7

12Shots on Goal4

9Corner Kicks4

10Fouls4

1Yellow Cards1

2Goalkeeper Saves7

4.40Expected goals (xG)1.09

Key events

9'⚽ B. Willumsson Normal Goal
11'⚽ T. Blokzijl Own Goal
21'🟨 Ruben van Bommel Yellow Card
35'⚽ I. Perisic Normal Goal
45'📺 Guus Til Penalty confirmed
45'+2🟨 Márk Csinger Yellow Card
45'⚽ R. Pepi Penalty
53'⚽ I. Perisic Normal Goal
56'⚽ S. Dest Normal Goal

Match preview

PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen: match preview

PSV Eindhoven host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 3) at Philips Stadion on Sunday 23 August, kick-off 13:30. The match finished 5-1.

Form guide

PSV Eindhoven have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Groningen have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season PSV Eindhoven have 0 wins from 1 game, while Groningen have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 2.25 for Groningen, 3.75 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 89% chance, over 2.5 72% and both teams to score 69%. The single most likely score is 1-2.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, PSV Eindhoven won 9, Groningen won 1 and 0 ended level, with 4.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 49% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (89%), X2 (82%), Away DNB (74%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: PSV Eindhoven 18%, draw 33%, Groningen 50%.
Expected goals: 1.5 vs 2.25.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
PSV Eindhoven have 0 clean sheets this season; Groningen have 0.
API-Football model advice: Combo Winner : Groningen and +1.5 goals.

See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 49% confidence. Win probabilities are PSV Eindhoven 18%, draw 33% and Groningen 50%.

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

Our model gives both teams to score a 69% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 72% chance and the most likely score is 1-2.

When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:30, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.