Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 4

Sassuolo

3-2

FT

Juventus

Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction

📅 Sun 13 Sep 2026 🏟️ Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia 🧑‍⚖️ Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy

Prediction

● Live data

18%

Sassuolo

35%

Draw

47%

Juventus

Sassuolo 18% · draw 35% · Juventus 47%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 49%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

247%

Fair 2.13Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win18%

Fair 5.68Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win47%

Fair 2.13Odds —

Double chance

✕

X282%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB73%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH61%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.571%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.84Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.576%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)51%

Fair 1.96Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-112%

Fair 8.12Odds —

Banker tip

✕

X282%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Super single

✕

Away WEH61%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	47%	2.13	—
Home win	Home win	18%	5.68	—
Away win	Away win	47%	2.13	—
Double chance	X2	82%	1.21	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	73%	1.38	—
Win either half	Away WEH	61%	1.64	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	71%	1.40	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.84	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	76%	1.32	—
BTTS	NG (No)	51%	1.96	—
Correct score	0-1	12%	8.12	—
Banker	X2	82%	1.21	—
Super single	Away WEH	61%	1.64	—

Form & head to head

Sassuolo

LWD

44%

Form

33%

Attack

67%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 5

Season W-D-L1-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Juventus

WWD

78%

Form

27%

Attack

93%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 1

Season W-D-L2-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

Team comparison

Form

36%

64%

Attack

56%

44%

Defence

17%

83%

Poisson model

0%

100%

Head to head

50%

Goals

40%

60%

Overall

39%

60%

Head to head

4

Home wins

1

Draws

5

Away wins

13 Sep 26 Sassuolo 3 - 2 Juventus

21 Mar 26 Juventus 1 - 1 Sassuolo

6 Jan 26 Sassuolo 0 - 3 Juventus

16 Jan 24 Juventus 3 - 0 Sassuolo

23 Sep 23 Sassuolo 4 - 2 Juventus

16 Apr 23 Sassuolo 1 - 0 Juventus

3.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 8 of 10.

Match statistics

42%Ball Possession58%

10Total Shots19

6Shots on Goal8

3Corner Kicks10

8Fouls13

2Yellow Cards2

6Goalkeeper Saves3

1.02Expected goals (xG)1.10

Key events

20'🟨 Jhon Lucumí Yellow Card
48'🟨 Luca Lipani Yellow Card
65'⚽ S. Esposito Normal Goal
76'🟨 Douglas Luiz Yellow Card
82'⚽ E. Zhegrova Normal Goal
89'⚽ K. Bowie Normal Goal
90'+3🟨 Fedde Leysen Yellow Card
90'⚽ E. Zhegrova Normal Goal
90'⚽ V. Adzic Normal Goal

Match preview

Sassuolo vs Juventus: match preview

Sassuolo host Juventus in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4) at Mapei Stadium on Sunday 13 September, kick-off 19:45. The match finished 3-2.

Form guide

Sassuolo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Juventus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. At home this season Sassuolo have 1 win from 1 game, while Juventus have won 1 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Sassuolo and 1.5 for Juventus, 2.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 49%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Sassuolo won 4, Juventus won 5 and 1 ended level, with 3.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 73% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (82%), Under 3.5 (76%), Away DNB (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Sassuolo 18%, draw 35%, Juventus 47%.
Expected goals: 1 vs 1.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Sassuolo have 0 clean sheets this season; Juventus have 2.
API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Juventus and -3.5 goals.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:41 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are Sassuolo 18%, draw 35% and Juventus 47%.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Our model gives both teams to score a 49% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Sassuolo vs Juventus?

Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:45, Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.