Primera B· Colombia · Clausura - 5

Depor FC

21:30

🕒 21:30

Real Cartagena

Depor FC vs Real Cartagena prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

18%

Depor FC

36%

Draw

45%

Real Cartagena

Depor FC 18% · draw 36% · Real Cartagena 45%. We pick Draw (Draw). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 39%, BTTS at 45%.

🎯 Our pick

Draw · Draw

Draw @ 3.80 Confidence 26%

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All prediction categories

1X2

245%

Fair 2.20Odds 1.25

Home win

Home win18%

Fair 5.53Odds 1.60

Away win

Away win45%

Fair 2.20Odds 1.25

Double chance

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.15

Draw no bet

Away DNB72%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH58%

Fair 1.74Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.561%

Fair 1.65Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.581%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Both teams to score

NG (No)55%

Fair 1.80Odds 1.85

Correct score

0-114%

Fair 7.21Odds 6.00

Banker tip

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.15

Super single

Over 1.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

14.80

X3.40

21.60

Double chance

1X2.20

121.25

X21.15

Both teams to score

Yes1.85

No1.85

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	45%	2.20	1.25
Home win	Home win	18%	5.53	1.60
Away win	Away win	45%	2.20	1.25
Double chance	X2	82%	1.22	1.15
Draw no bet	Away DNB	72%	1.40	—
Win either half	Away WEH	58%	1.74	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	66%	1.52	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	61%	1.65	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	81%	1.24	—
BTTS	NG (No)	55%	1.80	1.85
Correct score	0-1	14%	7.21	6.00
Banker	X2	82%	1.22	1.15
Super single	Over 1.5	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Depor FC

WWLLL

40%

Form

24%

Attack

53%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 8

Season W-D-L5-8-13

Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 8

Real Cartagena

WLDDL

33%

Form

29%

Attack

65%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 6

Season W-D-L15-10-9

Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 7

Team comparison

Form

55%

45%

Attack

44%

56%

Defence

43%

57%

Poisson model

26%

74%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

13%

87%

Overall

36%

63%

Head to head

0

Home wins

2

Draws

8

Away wins

13 Feb 26 Real Cartagena 4 - 1 Depor FC

5 Oct 25 Real Cartagena 4 - 0 Depor FC

25 Apr 25 Depor FC 1 - 2 Real Cartagena

12 Sep 24 Real Cartagena 1 - 0 Depor FC

4 Apr 24 Depor FC 0 - 2 Real Cartagena

24 Aug 23 Real Cartagena 3 - 1 Depor FC

2.70 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 5 of 10.

Match preview

Depor FC vs Real Cartagena: match preview

Depor FC host Real Cartagena in the Primera B (Clausura - 5) on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 21:30.

Form guide

Depor FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Real Cartagena have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Depor FC have 1 win from 13 games, while Real Cartagena have won 5 of 16 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.93 goals for Depor FC and 1.33 for Real Cartagena, 2.26 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 66% chance, over 2.5 39% and both teams to score 45%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Depor FC won 0, Real Cartagena won 8 and 2 ended level, with 2.7 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) at 26% confidence, priced at 3.80. The model also leans towards X2 (82%), Under 3.5 (81%), Away DNB (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Depor FC 18%, draw 36%, Real Cartagena 45%.
Expected goals: 0.93 vs 1.33.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Depor FC have 4 clean sheets this season; Real Cartagena have 10.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Real Cartagena.

See more Primera B numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:38 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Depor FC vs Real Cartagena?

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) with 26% confidence. Win probabilities are Depor FC 18%, draw 36% and Real Cartagena 45%.

Will both teams score in Depor FC vs Real Cartagena?

Our model gives both teams to score a 45% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Depor FC vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Depor FC vs Real Cartagena?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 21:30.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.