Serie A· Brazil · Regular Season - 23

Mirassol

1-5

FT

Flamengo

Mirassol vs Flamengo prediction

📅 Sun 16 Aug 2026 🏟️ Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol 🧑‍⚖️ Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil

Prediction

● Live data

16%

Mirassol

35%

Draw

49%

Flamengo

Mirassol 16% · draw 35% · Flamengo 49%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 49%, BTTS at 50%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · X2

X2 Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

249%

Fair 2.04Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win16%

Fair 6.17Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win49%

Fair 2.04Odds —

Double chance

✓

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Away DNB75%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Win either half

✓

Away WEH65%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.574%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.551%

Fair 1.96Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.573%

Fair 1.37Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)50%

Fair 1.98Odds —

Correct score

✕

0-112%

Fair 8.41Odds —

Banker tip

✓

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds —

Super single

✓

Away WEH65%

Fair 1.54Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	49%	2.04	—
Home win	Home win	16%	6.17	—
Away win	Away win	49%	2.04	—
Double chance	X2	84%	1.19	—
Draw no bet	Away DNB	75%	1.33	—
Win either half	Away WEH	65%	1.54	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	74%	1.35	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	51%	1.96	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	73%	1.37	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	50%	1.98	—
Correct score	0-1	12%	8.41	—
Banker	X2	84%	1.19	—
Super single	Away WEH	65%	1.54	—

Form & head to head

Mirassol

LWDWL

47%

Form

38%

Attack

56%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 7

Season W-D-L6-5-10

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 6

Flamengo

WWDDW

73%

Form

69%

Attack

88%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 2

Season W-D-L12-6-3

Clean sheets · failed to score9 · 2

Team comparison

Form

39%

61%

Attack

35%

65%

Defence

22%

78%

Poisson model

30%

70%

Head to head

20%

80%

Goals

44%

56%

Overall

31%

68%

Head to head

0

Home wins

1

Draws

3

Away wins

2 Sep 26 Flamengo 2 - 0 Mirassol

16 Aug 26 Mirassol 1 - 5 Flamengo

6 Dec 25 Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo

9 Aug 25 Flamengo 2 - 1 Mirassol

4.25 goals per meeting · BTTS in 3 of 4 · over 2.5 in 3 of 4.

Match statistics

43%Ball Possession57%

16Total Shots15

5Shots on Goal8

4Corner Kicks3

12Fouls4

3Yellow Cards0

3Goalkeeper Saves3

1.15Expected goals (xG)2.40

Key events

22'⚽ Jorge Carrascal Normal Goal
45'+3🟨 Denilson Yellow Card
51'🟨 Gustavo Cazonatti Yellow Card
53'⚽ Luiz Araújo Normal Goal
56'⚽ Pedro Guilherme Normal Goal
66'⚽ Pedro Guilherme Normal Goal
74'⚽ Samuel Lino Normal Goal
77'⚽ João Victor Normal Goal
85'🟨 Neto Moura Yellow Card

Match preview

Mirassol vs Flamengo: match preview

Mirassol host Flamengo in the Serie A (Regular Season - 23) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia on Sunday 16 August, kick-off 22:30. The match finished 1-5.

Form guide

Mirassol have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Flamengo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. At home this season Mirassol have 5 wins from 11 games, while Flamengo have won 6 of 11 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.98 goals for Mirassol and 1.65 for Flamengo, 2.63 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 74% chance, over 2.5 49% and both teams to score 50%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Mirassol won 0, Flamengo won 3 and 1 ended level, with 4.3 goals per game and both teams scoring in 3.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 76% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (84%), Away DNB (75%), Over 1.5 (74%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Mirassol 16%, draw 35%, Flamengo 49%.
Expected goals: 0.98 vs 1.65.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Mirassol have 1 clean sheets this season; Flamengo have 9.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Mirassol 16%, draw 35% and Flamengo 49%.

Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Flamengo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.

When and where is Mirassol vs Flamengo?

Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.