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Serie A· Brazil · Regular Season - 3
Atletico-MG logo

Atletico-MG

3-3
FT
Remo logo

Remo

Atletico-MG vs Remo prediction

📅 Thu 12 Feb 2026 🏟️ Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte 🧑‍⚖️ Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil

Prediction

● Live data
44%
Atletico-MG
35%
Draw
21%
Remo

Atletico-MG 44% · draw 35% · Remo 21%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 52%, BTTS at 55%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Double Chance · 1X
1X Confidence 72%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
144%
Fair 2.27Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win44%
Fair 2.27Odds —

Away win

✕
Away win21%
Fair 4.80Odds —

Double chance

✓
1X79%
Fair 1.26Odds —

Draw no bet

✕
Home DNB68%
Fair 1.47Odds —

Win either half

✕
Home WEH57%
Fair 1.76Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.576%
Fair 1.32Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.552%
Fair 1.93Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.570%
Fair 1.42Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)55%
Fair 1.80Odds —

Correct score

✕
1-112%
Fair 8.34Odds —

Banker tip

✓
1X79%
Fair 1.26Odds —

Super single

✕
Home WEH57%
Fair 1.76Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2144%2.27—
Home winHome win44%2.27—
Away winAway win21%4.80—
Double chance1X79%1.26—
Draw no betHome DNB68%1.47—
Win either halfHome WEH57%1.76—
Over 1.5Over 1.576%1.32—
Over 2.5Over 2.552%1.93—
Under 3.5Under 3.570%1.42—
BTTSGG (Yes)55%1.80—
Correct score1-112%8.34—
Banker1X79%1.26—
Super singleHome WEH57%1.76—

Form & head to head

Atletico-MG

DL
17%
Form
11%
Attack
83%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 3
Season W-D-L0-1-1
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Remo

LD
17%
Form
11%
Attack
78%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 4
Season W-D-L0-1-1
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

Team comparison

Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
50%
Defence
57%
43%
Poisson model
100%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
80%
20%
Overall
59%
40%

Head to head

2
Home wins
2
Draws
0
Away wins
8 Aug 26 Remo 2 - 2 Atletico-MG
12 Feb 26 Atletico-MG 3 - 3 Remo
10 Jun 21 Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Remo
2 Jun 21 Remo 0 - 2 Atletico-MG

3.75 goals per meeting · BTTS in 3 of 4 · over 2.5 in 3 of 4.

Match statistics

59%Ball Possession41%
18Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal6
6Corner Kicks5
10Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
2.66Expected goals (xG)2.12

Key events

  1. 22'⚽ Hulk Normal Goal
  2. 42'⚽ Vitor Bueno Normal Goal
  3. 53'📺 Leonel Picco Goal cancelled
  4. 57'🟨 João Pedro Silva Yellow Card
  5. 69'🟨 Kayky Almeida Yellow Card
  6. 70'⚽ Ruan Normal Goal
  7. 87'⚽ Yago Pikachu Normal Goal
  8. 90'+8⚽ Dudu Normal Goal
  9. 90'+2⚽ Alef Manga Normal Goal

Match preview

Atletico-MG vs Remo: match preview

Atletico-MG host Remo in the Serie A (Regular Season - 3) at Arena MRV on Thursday 12 February, kick-off 00:00. The match finished 3-3.

Form guide

Atletico-MG have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Remo have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Atletico-MG have 0 wins from 1 game, while Remo have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Atletico-MG and 1.25 for Remo, 2.75 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 52% and both teams to score 55%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 4 meetings, Atletico-MG won 2, Remo won 0 and 2 ended level, with 3.8 goals per game and both teams scoring in 3.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 72% confidence. The model also leans towards 1X (79%), Over 1.5 (76%), Under 3.5 (70%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Atletico-MG 44%, draw 35%, Remo 21%.
  • Expected goals: 1.5 vs 1.25.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Atletico-MG have 0 clean sheets this season; Remo have 0.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:09 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Remo?
Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Atletico-MG 44%, draw 35% and Remo 21%.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Remo?
Our model gives both teams to score a 55% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Atletico-MG vs Remo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.
When and where is Atletico-MG vs Remo?
Thursday 12 February 2026 at 00:00, Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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