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Primera Division· Nicaragua · Apertura - 10
San Marcos logo

San Marcos

1-2
FT
Diriangén logo

Diriangén

San Marcos vs Diriangén prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data
15%
San Marcos
34%
Draw
51%
Diriangén

San Marcos 15% · draw 34% · Diriangén 51%. We pick 2 (Away Win). Most likely score 0-1, over 2.5 at 52%, BTTS at 52%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Away Win · 2
2 Confidence 51%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✓
251%
Fair 1.98Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win15%
Fair 6.54Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win51%
Fair 1.98Odds —

Double chance

✓
X285%
Fair 1.18Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Away DNB77%
Fair 1.30Odds —

Win either half

✓
Away WEH68%
Fair 1.48Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.576%
Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.552%
Fair 1.92Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓
Under 3.570%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)52%
Fair 1.93Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-111%
Fair 8.88Odds —

Banker tip

✓
X285%
Fair 1.18Odds —

Super single

✓
Over 2.552%
Fair 1.92Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2251%1.98—
Home winHome win15%6.54—
Away winAway win51%1.98—
Double chanceX285%1.18—
Draw no betAway DNB77%1.30—
Win either halfAway WEH68%1.48—
Over 1.5Over 1.576%1.31—
Over 2.5Over 2.552%1.92—
Under 3.5Under 3.570%1.43—
BTTSGG (Yes)52%1.93—
Correct score0-111%8.88—
BankerX285%1.18—
Super singleOver 2.552%1.92—

Form & head to head

San Marcos

LWWLW
60%
Form
35%
Attack
71%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 5
Season W-D-L3-2-4
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 3

Diriangén

WWDWW
87%
Form
65%
Attack
82%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 3
Season W-D-L6-3-0
Clean sheets · failed to score4 · 0

Team comparison

Form
41%
59%
Attack
35%
65%
Defence
38%
63%
Poisson model
25%
75%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Overall
39%
60%

Head to head

0
Home wins
1
Draws
1
Away wins
7 Oct 26 San Marcos 1 - 2 Diriangén
18 Jul 26 Diriangén 1 - 1 San Marcos

2.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match preview

San Marcos vs Diriangén: match preview

San Marcos host Diriangén in the Primera Division (Apertura - 10) on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 01:00. The match finished 1-2.

Form guide

San Marcos have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Diriangén have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home this season San Marcos have 2 wins from 4 games, while Diriangén have won 4 of 5 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.98 goals for San Marcos and 1.78 for Diriangén, 2.76 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 52% and both teams to score 52%. The single most likely score is 0-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, San Marcos won 0, Diriangén won 1 and 1 ended level, with 2.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (2) at 51% confidence. The model also leans towards X2 (85%), Away DNB (77%), Over 1.5 (76%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: San Marcos 15%, draw 34%, Diriangén 51%.
  • Expected goals: 0.98 vs 1.78.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • San Marcos have 1 clean sheets this season; Diriangén have 4.
  • API-Football model advice: Winner : Diriangén.

See more Primera Division numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Marcos vs Diriangén?
Our main pick is Away Win (2) with 51% confidence. Win probabilities are San Marcos 15%, draw 34% and Diriangén 51%.
Will both teams score in San Marcos vs Diriangén?
Our model gives both teams to score a 52% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in San Marcos vs Diriangén?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and the most likely score is 0-1.
When and where is San Marcos vs Diriangén?
Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 01:00.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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