UEFA Champions League· World · League Stage - 2

Aston Villa

20:00

🕒 20:00

Fenerbahçe

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe prediction

📅 Wed 14 Oct 2026 🏟️ Villa Park, Birmingham 🧑‍⚖️ Ivan Kruzliak

Prediction

● Live data

40%

Aston Villa

35%

Draw

25%

Fenerbahçe

Aston Villa 40% · draw 35% · Fenerbahçe 25%. We pick GG (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 60%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · GG

GG @ 1.64 Confidence 61%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

140%

Fair 2.51Odds 4.50

Home win

Value

Home win40%

Fair 2.51Odds 4.50

Away win

Away win25%

Fair 3.92Odds 1.25

Double chance

1X75%

Fair 1.34Odds 1.20

Draw no bet

Home DNB61%

Fair 1.64Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH56%

Fair 1.79Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)60%

Fair 1.66Odds 1.60

Correct score

1-111%

Fair 8.95Odds 7.00

Banker tip

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Super single

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.55Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.67

X3.80

24.50

Double chance

1X1.20

121.25

X22.15

Both teams to score

Yes1.60

No2.30

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	40%	2.51	4.50	Value
Home win	Home win	40%	2.51	4.50	Value
Away win	Away win	25%	3.92	1.25
Double chance	1X	75%	1.34	1.20
Draw no bet	Home DNB	61%	1.64	—
Win either half	Away WEH	56%	1.79	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	60%	1.66	1.60
Correct score	1-1	11%	8.95	7.00
Banker	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Super single	Under 3.5	65%	1.55	—

Form & head to head

Aston Villa

W

100%

Form

14%

Attack

90%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 2

Season W-D-L1-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Fenerbahçe

WWDWD

73%

Form

33%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 3

Season W-D-L4-3-0

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Team comparison

Form

21%

79%

Attack

30%

70%

Defence

60%

40%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

100%

0%

Goals

100%

0%

Overall

37%

63%

Head to head

1

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

22 Jan 26 Fenerbahçe 0 - 1 Aston Villa

1.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 0 of 1 · over 2.5 in 0 of 1.

Match preview

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe: match preview

Aston Villa host Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Villa Park on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 20:00.

Form guide

Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 league game, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Fenerbahçe have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.43 goals for Aston Villa and 1.57 for Fenerbahçe, 3.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 60%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Fenerbahçe won 0 and 0 ended level, with 1.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 0.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) at 61% confidence, priced at 1.64. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (80%), 1X (75%), Under 3.5 (65%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Aston Villa 40%, draw 35%, Fenerbahçe 25%.
Expected goals: 1.43 vs 1.57.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 1 meetings.
Aston Villa have 0 clean sheets this season; Fenerbahçe have 3.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw.

See more UEFA Champions League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 14 Oct 15:09 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) with 61% confidence. Win probabilities are Aston Villa 40%, draw 35% and Fenerbahçe 25%.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe?

Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00, Villa Park, Birmingham.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.