Serie D - Girone D· Italy · Group D - 5

Coriano

0-1

51'

Pontedera

Coriano vs Pontedera prediction

📅 Wed 14 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

57%

Coriano

37%

Draw

7%

Pontedera

Coriano 57% · draw 37% · Pontedera 7%. We pick 1-0 (Correct Score). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 41%, BTTS at 38%.

🎯 Our pick

Correct Score · 1-0

1-0 @ 4.70 Confidence 21%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

157%

Fair 1.76Odds 3.50

Home win

Value

Home win57%

Fair 1.76Odds 3.50

Away win

Away win7%

Fair 14.94Odds 1.33

Double chance

Value

1X93%

Fair 1.07Odds 1.22

Draw no bet

Home DNB89%

Fair 1.12Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH72%

Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.568%

Fair 1.48Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.559%

Fair 1.70Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.579%

Fair 1.26Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

NG (No)62%

Fair 1.62Odds 1.91

Correct score

Value

1-017%

Fair 6.05Odds 6.50

Banker tip

Value

1X93%

Fair 1.07Odds 1.22

Super single

Value

NG (No)62%

Fair 1.62Odds 1.91

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.95

X2.90

23.50

Double chance

1X1.22

121.33

X21.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.75

No1.91

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	57%	1.76	3.50	Value
Home win	Home win	57%	1.76	3.50	Value
Away win	Away win	7%	14.94	1.33
Double chance	1X	93%	1.07	1.22	Value
Draw no bet	Home DNB	89%	1.12	—
Win either half	Home WEH	72%	1.40	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	68%	1.48	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	59%	1.70	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	79%	1.26	—
BTTS	NG (No)	62%	1.62	1.91	Value
Correct score	1-0	17%	6.05	6.50	Value
Banker	1X	93%	1.07	1.22	Value
Super single	NG (No)	62%	1.62	1.91	Value

Form & head to head

Coriano

DLLWD

33%

Form

50%

Attack

33%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 4

Season W-D-L1-2-2

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Pontedera

LLLLL

0%

Form

33%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 14

Season W-D-L0-0-6

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 4

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

78%

22%

Poisson model

83%

17%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

73%

26%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

14 Oct 26 Coriano 0 - 1 Pontedera

1.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 0 of 1 · over 2.5 in 0 of 1.

Match preview

Coriano vs Pontedera: match preview

Coriano host Pontedera in the Serie D - Girone D (Group D - 5) on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 14:00.

Form guide

Coriano have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Pontedera have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. At home this season Coriano have 0 wins from 3 games, while Pontedera have won 0 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Coriano and 0.63 for Pontedera, 2.33 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 68% chance, over 2.5 41% and both teams to score 38%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 1 meetings, Coriano won 0, Pontedera won 1 and 0 ended level, with 1.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 0.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Correct Score (1-0) at 21% confidence, priced at 4.70. The model also leans towards 1X (93%), Home DNB (89%), Under 3.5 (79%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Coriano 57%, draw 37%, Pontedera 7%.
Expected goals: 1.7 vs 0.63.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 1 meetings.
Coriano have 2 clean sheets this season; Pontedera have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Coriano or draw.

See more Serie D - Girone D numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 14 Oct 15:07 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coriano vs Pontedera?

Our main pick is Correct Score (1-0) with 21% confidence. Win probabilities are Coriano 57%, draw 37% and Pontedera 7%.

Will both teams score in Coriano vs Pontedera?

Our model gives both teams to score a 38% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Coriano vs Pontedera?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Coriano vs Pontedera?

Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.