Liga Alef· Israel · South - 6

FC Jerusalem

10:00

🕒 10:00

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

16%

FC Jerusalem

34%

Draw

50%

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

FC Jerusalem 16% · draw 34% · Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 50%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 57%, BTTS at 57%.

🎯 Our pick

Double Chance · X2

X2 @ 1.65 Confidence 57%

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All prediction categories

1X2

250%

Fair 1.99Odds 1.30

Home win

Home win16%

Fair 6.25Odds 3.00

Away win

Away win50%

Fair 1.99Odds 1.30

Double chance

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.65

Draw no bet

Away DNB76%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH68%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.580%

Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.557%

Fair 1.75Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.565%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)57%

Fair 1.77Odds 1.73

Correct score

1-111%

Fair 9.52Odds 7.00

Banker tip

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.65

Super single

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.65

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.05

X3.30

23.00

Double chance

1X1.33

121.30

X21.65

Both teams to score

Yes1.73

No2.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	50%	1.99	1.30
Home win	Home win	16%	6.25	3.00
Away win	Away win	50%	1.99	1.30
Double chance	X2	84%	1.19	1.65	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	76%	1.32	—
Win either half	Away WEH	68%	1.47	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	80%	1.25	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	57%	1.75	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	65%	1.53	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	57%	1.77	1.73
Correct score	1-1	11%	9.52	7.00
Banker	X2	84%	1.19	1.65	Value
Super single	X2	84%	1.19	1.65	Value

Form & head to head

FC Jerusalem

WDWDW

73%

Form

90%

Attack

60%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 4

Season W-D-L3-2-0

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

DWWWD

73%

Form

100%

Attack

70%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 3

Season W-D-L3-2-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

50%

Attack

45%

55%

Defence

43%

57%

Poisson model

20%

80%

Head to head

29%

71%

Goals

30%

70%

Overall

36%

63%

Head to head

1

Home wins

1

Draws

3

Away wins

30 Jan 26 FC Jerusalem 1 - 2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

19 Sep 25 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2 - 1 FC Jerusalem

21 Feb 25 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0 - 1 FC Jerusalem

22 Oct 24 FC Jerusalem 0 - 0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

2 Sep 22 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3 - 0 FC Jerusalem

2.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 5 · over 2.5 in 3 of 5.

Match preview

FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: match preview

FC Jerusalem host Maccabi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef (South - 6) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 10:00.

Form guide

FC Jerusalem have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home this season FC Jerusalem have 0 wins from 2 games, while Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have won 2 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for FC Jerusalem and 1.88 for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, 2.98 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 57% and both teams to score 57%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 5 meetings, FC Jerusalem won 1, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi won 3 and 1 ended level, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 57% confidence, priced at 1.65. The model also leans towards X2 (84%), Over 1.5 (80%), Away DNB (76%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: FC Jerusalem 16%, draw 34%, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 50%.
Expected goals: 1.1 vs 1.88.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
FC Jerusalem have 1 clean sheets this season; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.

See more Liga Alef numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 09:01 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 57% confidence. Win probabilities are FC Jerusalem 16%, draw 34% and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 50%.

Will both teams score in FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 10:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.