UEFA Europa Conference League· World · 3rd Qualifying Round

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

2-5

FT

HNK Hajduk Split

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction

📅 Thu 6 Aug 2026 🏟️ LFF stadionas, Vilnius 🧑‍⚖️ M. Nagtegaal

Prediction

● Live data

51%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

25%

Draw

24%

HNK Hajduk Split

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 51% · draw 25% · HNK Hajduk Split 24%. We pick Over 2.5 (2.5 Goals). Most likely score 2-1, over 2.5 at 70%, BTTS at 61%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

2.5 Goals · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.81 Confidence 55%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

151%

Fair 1.98Odds —

Home win

✕

Home win51%

Fair 1.98Odds —

Away win

✓

Away win24%

Fair 4.15Odds —

Double chance

✕

1X76%

Fair 1.32Odds —

Draw no bet

✕

Home DNB68%

Fair 1.48Odds —

Win either half

✕

Home WEH78%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.587%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.570%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.552%

Fair 1.94Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)61%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Correct score

✕

2-19%

Fair 10.65Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.587%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Super single

✓

GG (Yes)61%

Fair 1.63Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	51%	1.98	—
Home win	Home win	51%	1.98	—
Away win	Away win	24%	4.15	—
Double chance	1X	76%	1.32	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	68%	1.48	—
Win either half	Home WEH	78%	1.27	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	87%	1.14	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	70%	1.43	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	52%	1.94	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	61%	1.63	—
Correct score	2-1	9%	10.65	—
Banker	Over 1.5	87%	1.14	—
Super single	GG (Yes)	61%	1.63	—

Form & head to head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

WWLW

75%

Form

67%

Attack

61%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)12 / 7

Season W-D-L3-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 1

HNK Hajduk Split

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

100%

0%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

0%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

2

Away wins

13 Aug 26 HNK Hajduk Split 4 - 0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

6 Aug 26 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 - 5 HNK Hajduk Split

5.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 2 of 2.

Match statistics

48%Ball Possession52%

5Shots on Goal8

2Corner Kicks5

14Fouls20

3Yellow Cards1

Key events

4'🟨 Yuri Kendysh Yellow Card
5'⚽ M. Sego Penalty
14'⚽ Michele Šego Missed Penalty
25'🟨 Petar Bosančić Yellow Card
34'⚽ N. Petkovic Normal Goal
44'⚽ M. Sego Normal Goal
51'🟨 Rokas Pukštas Yellow Card
55'⚽ A. Pajaziti Normal Goal
72'⚽ D. de Almeida Normal Goal
75'⚽ R. Pukstas Normal Goal
78'🟨 Deividas Šešplaukis Yellow Card
85'⚽ M. Capan Normal Goal
90'+4📺 Marin Šotiček Goal cancelled

Match preview

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split: match preview

FK Zalgiris Vilnius host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at LFF stadionas on Thursday 6 August, kick-off 18:00. The match finished 2-5.

Form guide

FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 2 wins from 2 games, while HNK Hajduk Split have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.1 for HNK Hajduk Split, 3.60 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 87% chance, over 2.5 70% and both teams to score 61%. The single most likely score is 2-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 0, HNK Hajduk Split won 2 and 0 ended level, with 5.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) at 55% confidence, priced at 1.81. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (87%), Home WEH (78%), 1X (76%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 51%, draw 25%, HNK Hajduk Split 24%.
Expected goals: 2.5 vs 1.1.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 2 meetings.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 0 clean sheets this season; HNK Hajduk Split have 0.
API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more UEFA Europa Conference League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:41 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our main pick is 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) with 55% confidence. Win probabilities are FK Zalgiris Vilnius 51%, draw 25% and HNK Hajduk Split 24%.

Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance and the most likely score is 2-1.

When and where is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:00, LFF stadionas, Vilnius.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.