UEFA Europa League· World · 3rd Qualifying Round

Benfica

6-1

FT

Heart Of Midlothian

Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction

📅 Thu 6 Aug 2026 🏟️ Estádio da Luz, Lisbon 🧑‍⚖️ Marian Barbu, Romania

Prediction

● Live data

48%

Benfica

30%

Draw

23%

Heart Of Midlothian

Benfica 48% · draw 30% · Heart Of Midlothian 23%. We pick Draw (Draw). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 32%, BTTS at 31%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Draw · Draw

Draw @ 10.10 Confidence 1%

Get today's VIP slip

All prediction categories

1X2

✓

148%

Fair 2.10Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win48%

Fair 2.10Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win23%

Fair 4.39Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X77%

Fair 1.29Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB68%

Fair 1.48Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH69%

Fair 1.44Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.559%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.568%

Fair 1.48Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.586%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Both teams to score

✕

NG (No)69%

Fair 1.44Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-020%

Fair 4.93Odds —

Banker tip

✕

Under 3.586%

Fair 1.17Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 1.559%

Fair 1.68Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	48%	2.10	—
Home win	Home win	48%	2.10	—
Away win	Away win	23%	4.39	—
Double chance	1X	77%	1.29	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	68%	1.48	—
Win either half	Home WEH	69%	1.44	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	59%	1.68	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	68%	1.48	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	86%	1.17	—
BTTS	NG (No)	69%	1.44	—
Correct score	1-0	20%	4.93	—
Banker	Under 3.5	86%	1.17	—
Super single	Over 1.5	59%	1.68	—

Form & head to head

Benfica

LW

50%

Form

75%

Attack

75%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 2

Season W-D-L1-0-1

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 0

Heart Of Midlothian

0%

Form

0%

Attack

0%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0

Season W-D-L0-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

100%

0%

Defence

0%

100%

Poisson model

0%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

0%

Head to head

1

Home wins

1

Draws

0

Away wins

13 Aug 26 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 Benfica

6 Aug 26 Benfica 6 - 1 Heart Of Midlothian

4.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match statistics

67%Ball Possession33%

11Shots on Goal2

6Corner Kicks2

12Fouls12

2Yellow Cards4

Key events

3'⚽ Rafa Silva Normal Goal
23'⚽ T. Araujo Normal Goal
33'🟨 Gianluca Prestianni Yellow Card
41'🟨 Laurent Mendy Yellow Card
42'⚽ V. Pavlidis Penalty
59'⚽ G. Prestianni Normal Goal
70'🟨 Blair Spittal Yellow Card
72'⚽ T. Renaud Normal Goal
79'🟨 Alexander Bah Yellow Card
84'🟨 Oisin McEntee Yellow Card
87'⚽ J. Duran Normal Goal
89'🟨 Cláudio Braga Yellow Card
90'⚽ A. Schjelderup Penalty

Match preview

Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian: match preview

Benfica host Heart Of Midlothian in the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Estádio da Luz on Thursday 6 August, kick-off 20:00. The match finished 6-1.

Form guide

Benfica have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. At home this season Benfica have 1 win from 1 game, while Heart Of Midlothian have won 0 of 0 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Benfica and 0.5 for Heart Of Midlothian, 2.00 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 59% chance, over 2.5 32% and both teams to score 31%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Benfica won 1, Heart Of Midlothian won 0 and 1 ended level, with 4.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) at 1% confidence, priced at 10.10. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (86%), 1X (77%), NG (No) (69%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Benfica 48%, draw 30%, Heart Of Midlothian 23%.
Expected goals: 1.5 vs 0.5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
Benfica have 1 clean sheets this season; Heart Of Midlothian have 0.
API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more UEFA Europa League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:38 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) with 1% confidence. Win probabilities are Benfica 48%, draw 30% and Heart Of Midlothian 23%.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our model gives both teams to score a 31% chance, so the lean is NG (No).

How many goals will there be in Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 32% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.

When and where is Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Thursday 6 August 2026 at 20:00, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.