Skip to content
EkeTips
Sign up
Thai League 2· Thailand · Regular Season - 6
Nong Bua Pitchaya logo

Nong Bua Pitchaya

3-1
FT
Chiangmai United logo

Chiangmai United

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United prediction

📅 Wed 14 Oct 2026 🏟️ Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Prediction

● Live data
45%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
35%
Draw
20%
Chiangmai United

Nong Bua Pitchaya 45% · draw 35% · Chiangmai United 20%. We pick Draw (Draw). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 57%, BTTS at 59%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost
Draw · Draw
Draw @ 3.68 Confidence 27%
Get today's VIP slip

All prediction categories

1X2

✓
145%
Fair 2.22Odds 3.80

Home win

✓
Home win45%
Fair 2.22Odds 3.80

Away win

✕
Away win20%
Fair 4.88Odds 1.22

Double chance

✓
1X80%
Fair 1.26Odds 1.20

Draw no bet

✓
Home DNB69%
Fair 1.45Odds —

Win either half

✓
Home WEH59%
Fair 1.68Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓
Over 1.580%
Fair 1.25Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓
Over 2.557%
Fair 1.75Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.565%
Fair 1.53Odds —

Both teams to score

✓
GG (Yes)59%
Fair 1.68Odds 1.57

Correct score

✕
1-111%
Fair 8.97Odds 7.00

Banker tip

✓
Over 1.580%
Fair 1.25Odds —

Super single

✕
Under 3.565%
Fair 1.53Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
11.70
X3.60
23.80
Double chance
1X1.20
121.22
X22.00
Both teams to score
Yes1.57
No2.25

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2145%2.223.80Value
Home winHome win45%2.223.80Value
Away winAway win20%4.881.22
Double chance1X80%1.261.20
Draw no betHome DNB69%1.45—
Win either halfHome WEH59%1.68—
Over 1.5Over 1.580%1.25—
Over 2.5Over 2.557%1.75—
Under 3.5Under 3.565%1.53—
BTTSGG (Yes)59%1.681.57
Correct score1-111%8.977.00
BankerOver 1.580%1.25—
Super singleUnder 3.565%1.53—

Form & head to head

Nong Bua Pitchaya

WLDWD
53%
Form
100%
Attack
22%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 7
Season W-D-L2-2-1
Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Chiangmai United

LWWLW
60%
Form
78%
Attack
56%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 4
Season W-D-L3-0-2
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 2

Team comparison

Form
47%
53%
Attack
56%
44%
Defence
36%
64%
Poisson model
61%
39%
Head to head
80%
20%
Goals
60%
40%
Overall
56%
43%

Head to head

7
Home wins
2
Draws
1
Away wins
14 Oct 26 Nong Bua Pitchaya 3 - 1 Chiangmai United
18 Apr 26 Chiangmai United 3 - 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Dec 25 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1 - 0 Chiangmai United
28 Jan 24 Nong Bua Pitchaya 2 - 1 Chiangmai United
16 Sep 23 Chiangmai United 1 - 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya
20 Mar 22 Chiangmai United 1 - 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya

2.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United: match preview

Nong Bua Pitchaya host Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2 (Regular Season - 6) at Pitchaya Stadium on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 12:00. The match finished 3-1.

Form guide

Nong Bua Pitchaya have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Chiangmai United have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. At home this season Nong Bua Pitchaya have 2 wins from 2 games, while Chiangmai United have won 1 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.33 for Chiangmai United, 2.98 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 80% chance, over 2.5 57% and both teams to score 59%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Nong Bua Pitchaya won 7, Chiangmai United won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Draw (Draw) at 27% confidence, priced at 3.68. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (80%), 1X (80%), Home DNB (69%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%, draw 35%, Chiangmai United 20%.
  • Expected goals: 1.65 vs 1.33.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have 2 clean sheets this season; Chiangmai United have 1.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw.

See more Thai League 2 numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE
Written by Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

View profile
By · Updated 14 Oct 15:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our main pick is Draw (Draw) with 27% confidence. Win probabilities are Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%, draw 35% and Chiangmai United 20%.
Will both teams score in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.
When and where is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:00, Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.