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UEFA Europa Conference League· World · 2nd Qualifying Round
Neftchi Baku logo

Neftchi Baku

2-4
FT
Dinamo Minsk logo

Dinamo Minsk

Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk prediction

📅 Wed 22 Jul 2026 🏟️ Palms Sports Arena, Baku 🧑‍⚖️ K. Fellas

Prediction

● Live data
24%
Neftchi Baku
43%
Draw
33%
Dinamo Minsk

Neftchi Baku 24% · draw 43% · Dinamo Minsk 33%. We pick Away Win (Away Win). Most likely score 0-0, over 2.5 at 4%, BTTS at 9%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won
Away Win · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.16 Confidence 24%
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All prediction categories

1X2

✕
X43%
Fair 2.31Odds —

Home win

✕
Home win24%
Fair 4.20Odds —

Away win

✓
Away win33%
Fair 3.04Odds —

Double chance

✓
X276%
Fair 1.31Odds —

Draw no bet

✓
Away DNB58%
Fair 1.72Odds —

Win either half

✓
Away WEH36%
Fair 2.80Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✕
Under 1.583%
Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕
Under 2.596%
Fair 1.04Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕
Under 3.599%
Fair 1.01Odds —

Both teams to score

✕
NG (No)91%
Fair 1.10Odds —

Correct score

✕
0-047%
Fair 2.12Odds —

Banker tip

✕
Under 3.599%
Fair 1.01Odds —

Super single

✓
Away DNB58%
Fair 1.72Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2X43%2.31—
Home winHome win24%4.20—
Away winAway win33%3.04—
Double chanceX276%1.31—
Draw no betAway DNB58%1.72—
Win either halfAway WEH36%2.80—
Over 1.5Under 1.583%1.21—
Over 2.5Under 2.596%1.04—
Under 3.5Under 3.599%1.01—
BTTSNG (No)91%1.10—
Correct score0-047%2.12—
BankerUnder 3.599%1.01—
Super singleAway DNB58%1.72—

Form & head to head

Neftchi Baku

0%
Form
0%
Attack
0%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 0
Season W-D-L0-0-0
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Dinamo Minsk

LW
50%
Form
11%
Attack
94%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 1
Season W-D-L1-0-1
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Team comparison

Form
0%
100%
Attack
0%
100%
Defence
100%
0%
Poisson model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
0%
Overall
0%
0%

Head to head

1
Home wins
0
Draws
1
Away wins
30 Jul 26 Dinamo Minsk 0 - 1 Neftchi Baku
22 Jul 26 Neftchi Baku 2 - 4 Dinamo Minsk

3.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 1 of 2.

Match preview

Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk: match preview

Neftchi Baku host Dinamo Minsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League (2nd Qualifying Round) at Palms Sports Arena on Wednesday 22 July, kick-off 17:00. The match finished 2-4.

Form guide

Dinamo Minsk have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 0.25 goals for Neftchi Baku and 0.5 for Dinamo Minsk, 0.75 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 17% chance, over 2.5 4% and both teams to score 9%. The single most likely score is 0-0.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Neftchi Baku won 1, Dinamo Minsk won 1 and 0 ended level, with 3.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) at 24% confidence, priced at 4.16. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (99%), Under 2.5 (96%), NG (No) (91%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Neftchi Baku 24%, draw 43%, Dinamo Minsk 33%.
  • Expected goals: 0.25 vs 0.5.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • Neftchi Baku have 0 clean sheets this season; Dinamo Minsk have 1.
  • API-Football model advice: No predictions available.

See more UEFA Europa Conference League numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:42 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk?
Our main pick is Away Win (Away Win) with 24% confidence. Win probabilities are Neftchi Baku 24%, draw 43% and Dinamo Minsk 33%.
Will both teams score in Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk?
Our model gives both teams to score a 9% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk?
We expect about 0.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 4% chance and the most likely score is 0-0.
When and where is Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk?
Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 17:00, Palms Sports Arena, Baku.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.

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