First NL· Croatia · Regular Season - 8

Sesvete

14:00

🕒 14:00

Jadran LP

Sesvete vs Jadran LP prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

21%

Sesvete

35%

Draw

43%

Jadran LP

Sesvete 21% · draw 35% · Jadran LP 43%. We pick Over 1.5 (1.5 Goals). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 49%, BTTS at 54%.

🎯 Our pick

1.5 Goals · Over 1.5

Over 1.5 @ 1.32 Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

243%

Fair 2.30Odds 1.36

Home win

Home win21%

Fair 4.74Odds 3.10

Away win

Away win43%

Fair 2.30Odds 1.36

Double chance

Value

X279%

Fair 1.27Odds 1.55

Draw no bet

Away DNB67%

Fair 1.49Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH56%

Fair 1.80Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.574%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.551%

Fair 1.98Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.573%

Fair 1.38Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)54%

Fair 1.87Odds 1.85

Correct score

1-112%

Fair 8.11Odds 5.00

Banker tip

Value

X279%

Fair 1.27Odds 1.55

Super single

Value

X279%

Fair 1.27Odds 1.55

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.15

X2.80

23.10

Double chance

1X1.30

121.36

X21.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.85

No1.83

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	43%	2.30	1.36
Home win	Home win	21%	4.74	3.10
Away win	Away win	43%	2.30	1.36
Double chance	X2	79%	1.27	1.55	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	67%	1.49	—
Win either half	Away WEH	56%	1.80	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	74%	1.35	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	51%	1.98	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	73%	1.38	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	54%	1.87	1.85
Correct score	1-1	12%	8.11	5.00
Banker	X2	79%	1.27	1.55	Value
Super single	X2	79%	1.27	1.55	Value

Form & head to head

Sesvete

LWWLL

40%

Form

71%

Attack

14%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 6

Season W-D-L3-0-4

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Jadran LP

DLWWW

67%

Form

86%

Attack

43%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 4

Season W-D-L4-2-1

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

38%

63%

Attack

45%

55%

Defence

40%

60%

Poisson model

43%

57%

Head to head

20%

80%

Goals

33%

67%

Overall

36%

63%

Head to head

0

Home wins

1

Draws

1

Away wins

4 Mar 23 Jadran LP 1 - 1 Sesvete

26 Aug 22 Sesvete 0 - 1 Jadran LP

1.50 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 2 · over 2.5 in 0 of 2.

Match preview

Sesvete vs Jadran LP: match preview

Sesvete host Jadran LP in the First NL (Regular Season - 8) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 14:00.

Form guide

Sesvete have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Jadran LP have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. At home this season Sesvete have 2 wins from 4 games, while Jadran LP have won 2 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.22 goals for Sesvete and 1.43 for Jadran LP, 2.65 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 74% chance, over 2.5 49% and both teams to score 54%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings, Sesvete won 0, Jadran LP won 1 and 1 ended level, with 1.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) at 76% confidence, priced at 1.32. The model also leans towards X2 (79%), Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Sesvete 21%, draw 35%, Jadran LP 43%.
Expected goals: 1.22 vs 1.43.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 2 meetings.
Sesvete have 2 clean sheets this season; Jadran LP have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Jadran LP.

See more First NL numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 09:00 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sesvete vs Jadran LP?

Our main pick is 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Sesvete 21%, draw 35% and Jadran LP 43%.

Will both teams score in Sesvete vs Jadran LP?

Our model gives both teams to score a 54% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Jadran LP?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Sesvete vs Jadran LP?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.