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Regionalliga - Nordost· Germany · Nordost - 12
BSG Chemie Leipzig logo

BSG Chemie Leipzig

18:00
🕒 18:00
Luckenwalde logo

Luckenwalde

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data
47%
BSG Chemie Leipzig
34%
Draw
19%
Luckenwalde

BSG Chemie Leipzig 47% · draw 34% · Luckenwalde 19%. We pick GG (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 60%, BTTS at 61%.

🎯 Our pick
Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · GG
GG @ 1.28 Confidence 78%
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All prediction categories

1X2

Value
147%
Fair 2.12Odds 3.04

Home win

Value
Home win47%
Fair 2.12Odds 3.04

Away win

Away win19%
Fair 5.30Odds 1.13

Double chance

Value
1X81%
Fair 1.23Odds 1.27

Draw no bet

Home DNB71%
Fair 1.40Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH63%
Fair 1.58Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.582%
Fair 1.23Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.560%
Fair 1.67Odds 1.26

Over/Under 3.5

Value
Under 3.562%
Fair 1.60Odds 1.91

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)61%
Fair 1.65Odds 1.28

Correct score

1-111%
Fair 9.49Odds 9.70

Banker tip

Over 1.582%
Fair 1.23Odds —

Super single

Home WEH63%
Fair 1.58Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
11.83
X4.25
23.04
Double chance
1X1.27
121.13
X21.75
Goals 2.5
Over1.26
Under3.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.28
No3.18

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2147%2.123.04Value
Home winHome win47%2.123.04Value
Away winAway win19%5.301.13
Double chance1X81%1.231.27Value
Draw no betHome DNB71%1.40—
Win either halfHome WEH63%1.58—
Over 1.5Over 1.582%1.23—
Over 2.5Over 2.560%1.671.26
Under 3.5Under 3.562%1.601.91Value
BTTSGG (Yes)61%1.651.28
Correct score1-111%9.499.70
BankerOver 1.582%1.23—
Super singleHome WEH63%1.58—

Form & head to head

BSG Chemie Leipzig

DDWLW
53%
Form
52%
Attack
57%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 9
Season W-D-L2-3-6
Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 5

Luckenwalde

LLLLL
0%
Form
19%
Attack
43%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 12
Season W-D-L1-0-10
Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 4

Team comparison

Form
100%
0%
Attack
73%
27%
Defence
57%
43%
Poisson model
46%
54%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Overall
55%
44%

Head to head

2
Home wins
3
Draws
5
Away wins
22 Mar 26 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1 - 0 Luckenwalde
27 Sep 25 Luckenwalde 1 - 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig
1 Feb 25 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1 - 3 Luckenwalde
10 Aug 24 Luckenwalde 0 - 0 BSG Chemie Leipzig
19 May 24 Luckenwalde 1 - 3 BSG Chemie Leipzig
21 Feb 24 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1 - 1 Luckenwalde

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: match preview

BSG Chemie Leipzig host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Nordost - 12) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 18:00.

Form guide

BSG Chemie Leipzig have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Luckenwalde have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. At home this season BSG Chemie Leipzig have 0 wins from 5 games, while Luckenwalde have won 1 of 5 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.8 goals for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 1.3 for Luckenwalde, 3.10 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 82% chance, over 2.5 60% and both teams to score 61%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, BSG Chemie Leipzig won 2, Luckenwalde won 5 and 3 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) at 78% confidence, priced at 1.28. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (82%), 1X (81%), Home DNB (71%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: BSG Chemie Leipzig 47%, draw 34%, Luckenwalde 19%.
  • Expected goals: 1.8 vs 1.3.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • BSG Chemie Leipzig have 0 clean sheets this season; Luckenwalde have 1.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : BSG Chemie Leipzig or draw.

See more Regionalliga - Nordost numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE
Written by Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By · Updated 9 Oct 09:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (GG) with 78% confidence. Win probabilities are BSG Chemie Leipzig 47%, draw 34% and Luckenwalde 19%.
Will both teams score in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Our model gives both teams to score a 61% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.
When and where is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?
Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:00.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.