Bundesliga· Germany · Regular Season - 5

Borussia Dortmund

19:30

🕒 19:30

Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund 🧑‍⚖️ Christian Dingert

Prediction

● Live data

57%

Borussia Dortmund

31%

Draw

11%

Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund 57% · draw 31% · Werder Bremen 11%. We pick Home Win (Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com). Most likely score 2-0, over 2.5 at 62%, BTTS at 53%.

🎯 Our pick

Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.41 Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

157%

Fair 1.74Odds 7.50

Home win

Value

Home win57%

Fair 1.74Odds 7.50

Away win

Away win11%

Fair 8.87Odds 1.15

Double chance

1X89%

Fair 1.13Odds 1.08

Draw no bet

Home DNB84%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.20Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.560%

Fair 1.67Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)53%

Fair 1.89Odds 1.67

Correct score

2-011%

Fair 9.13Odds 8.00

Banker tip

1X89%

Fair 1.13Odds 1.08

Super single

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.30

X5.00

27.50

Double chance

1X1.08

121.15

X23.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.67

No2.20

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	57%	1.74	7.50	Value
Home win	Home win	57%	1.74	7.50	Value
Away win	Away win	11%	8.87	1.15
Double chance	1X	89%	1.13	1.08
Draw no bet	Home DNB	84%	1.20	—
Win either half	Home WEH	79%	1.27	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	83%	1.20	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	60%	1.67	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	53%	1.89	1.67
Correct score	2-0	11%	9.13	8.00
Banker	1X	89%	1.13	1.08
Super single	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—

Form & head to head

Borussia Dortmund

WWWW

100%

Form

64%

Attack

86%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 2

Season W-D-L4-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 0

Werder Bremen

LWDW

58%

Form

57%

Attack

43%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 8

Season W-D-L2-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

63%

37%

Attack

53%

47%

Defence

80%

20%

Poisson model

100%

0%

Head to head

85%

15%

Goals

75%

25%

Overall

71%

28%

Head to head

7

Home wins

2

Draws

1

Away wins

16 May 26 Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

13 Jan 26 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Werder Bremen

25 Jan 25 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen

31 Aug 24 Werder Bremen 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund

9 Mar 24 Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

20 Oct 23 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Werder Bremen

2.80 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: match preview

Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5) at Signal Iduna Park on Friday 9 October, kick-off 19:30.

Form guide

Borussia Dortmund have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 league games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Werder Bremen have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 league games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins from 2 games, while Werder Bremen have won 0 of 2 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.88 for Werder Bremen, 3.21 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 83% chance, over 2.5 62% and both teams to score 53%. The single most likely score is 2-0.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 7, Werder Bremen won 1 and 2 ended level, with 2.8 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Home Win) at 71% confidence, priced at 1.41. The model also leans towards 1X (89%), Home DNB (84%), Over 1.5 (83%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Borussia Dortmund 57%, draw 31%, Werder Bremen 11%.
Expected goals: 2.33 vs 0.88.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Borussia Dortmund have 3 clean sheets this season; Werder Bremen have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw.

See more Bundesliga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 09:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our main pick is Accurate Football Prediction Site - ekepredict.com (Home Win) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are Borussia Dortmund 57%, draw 31% and Werder Bremen 11%.

Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance and the most likely score is 2-0.

When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.