Liga Leumit· Israel · Regular Season - 9

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

14:00

🕒 14:00

Kiryat Yam SC

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026

Prediction

● Live data

16%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

33%

Draw

51%

Kiryat Yam SC

Maccabi Kiryat Gat 16% · draw 33% · Kiryat Yam SC 51%. We pick Under 3.5 (3 5 Goal). Most likely score 1-2, over 2.5 at 68%, BTTS at 65%.

🎯 Our pick

3 5 Goal · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.40 Confidence 71%

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All prediction categories

1X2

251%

Fair 1.94Odds 1.25

Home win

Home win16%

Fair 6.26Odds 1.83

Away win

Away win51%

Fair 1.94Odds 1.25

Double chance

Value

X284%

Fair 1.19Odds 1.25

Draw no bet

Away DNB76%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH71%

Fair 1.41Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.586%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.568%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.554%

Fair 1.86Odds —

Both teams to score

Value

GG (Yes)65%

Fair 1.55Odds 1.62

Correct score

1-210%

Fair 10.53Odds 7.50

Banker tip

Over 1.586%

Fair 1.16Odds —

Super single

Value

GG (Yes)65%

Fair 1.55Odds 1.62

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

13.75

X3.40

21.83

Double chance

1X1.91

121.25

X21.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.62

No2.15

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	51%	1.94	1.25
Home win	Home win	16%	6.26	1.83
Away win	Away win	51%	1.94	1.25
Double chance	X2	84%	1.19	1.25	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	76%	1.31	—
Win either half	Away WEH	71%	1.41	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	86%	1.16	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	1.47	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	54%	1.86	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	65%	1.55	1.62	Value
Correct score	1-2	10%	10.53	7.50
Banker	Over 1.5	86%	1.16	—
Super single	GG (Yes)	65%	1.55	1.62	Value

Form & head to head

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

DLWLL

27%

Form

30%

Attack

40%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 6

Season W-D-L2-2-4

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 2

Kiryat Yam SC

WLWWW

80%

Form

100%

Attack

30%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)15 / 7

Season W-D-L5-0-3

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 1

Team comparison

Form

25%

75%

Attack

17%

83%

Defence

54%

46%

Poisson model

28%

72%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

Overall

31%

69%

Head to head

0

Home wins

0

Draws

0

Away wins

These teams have not met recently.

Match preview

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC: match preview

Maccabi Kiryat Gat host Kiryat Yam SC in the Liga Leumit (Regular Season - 9) on Friday 9 October, kick-off 14:00.

Form guide

Maccabi Kiryat Gat have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Kiryat Yam SC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. At home this season Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 0 wins from 3 games, while Kiryat Yam SC have won 2 of 4 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 2.2 for Kiryat Yam SC, 3.50 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 86% chance, over 2.5 68% and both teams to score 65%. The single most likely score is 1-2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 3 5 Goal (Under 3.5) at 71% confidence, priced at 1.40. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (86%), X2 (84%), Away DNB (76%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 16%, draw 33%, Kiryat Yam SC 51%.
Expected goals: 1.3 vs 2.2.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 2 clean sheets this season; Kiryat Yam SC have 2.
API-Football model advice: Winner : Kiryat Yam SC.

See more Liga Leumit numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 9 Oct 09:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?

Our main pick is 3 5 Goal (Under 3.5) with 71% confidence. Win probabilities are Maccabi Kiryat Gat 16%, draw 33% and Kiryat Yam SC 51%.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?

Our model gives both teams to score a 65% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 68% chance and the most likely score is 1-2.

When and where is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC?

Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.