Eredivisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 4

AZ Alkmaar

5-2

FT

GO Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction

📅 Sat 29 Aug 2026 🏟️ AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar 🧑‍⚖️ Alex Bos, Netherlands

Prediction

● Live data

46%

AZ Alkmaar

33%

Draw

21%

GO Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar 46% · draw 33% · GO Ahead Eagles 21%. We pick 1X (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 71%, BTTS at 70%.

🎯 Our pick✓ Won

Double Chance · 1X

1X Confidence 73%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

146%

Fair 2.19Odds —

Home win

✓

Home win46%

Fair 2.19Odds —

Away win

✕

Away win21%

Fair 4.73Odds —

Double chance

✓

1X79%

Fair 1.27Odds —

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB68%

Fair 1.46Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH62%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.588%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.571%

Fair 1.42Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.550%

Fair 1.98Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)70%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Correct score

✕

1-19%

Fair 11.66Odds —

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.588%

Fair 1.14Odds —

Super single

✓

Home WEH62%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Pre-match odds are closed for this fixture.

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	46%	2.19	—
Home win	Home win	46%	2.19	—
Away win	Away win	21%	4.73	—
Double chance	1X	79%	1.27	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	68%	1.46	—
Win either half	Home WEH	62%	1.61	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	88%	1.14	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	71%	1.42	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	50%	1.98	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	70%	1.43	—
Correct score	1-1	9%	11.66	—
Banker	Over 1.5	88%	1.14	—
Super single	Home WEH	62%	1.61	—

Form & head to head

AZ Alkmaar

WWW

100%

Form

32%

Attack

96%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 1

Season W-D-L3-0-0

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 0

GO Ahead Eagles

WDW

78%

Form

36%

Attack

84%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)9 / 4

Season W-D-L2-1-0

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Team comparison

Form

56%

44%

Attack

47%

53%

Defence

80%

20%

Poisson model

100%

0%

Head to head

64%

36%

Goals

62%

38%

Overall

61%

38%

Head to head

6

Home wins

4

Draws

0

Away wins

29 Aug 26 AZ Alkmaar 5 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles

23 Apr 26 GO Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar

7 Dec 25 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles

4 May 25 GO Ahead Eagles 0 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

21 Apr 25 AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 GO Ahead Eagles

27 Oct 24 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2 GO Ahead Eagles

3.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 7 of 10.

Match statistics

52%Ball Possession48%

21Total Shots10

8Shots on Goal4

8Corner Kicks4

9Fouls6

2Goalkeeper Saves3

2.37Expected goals (xG)1.66

Key events

7'⚽ D. Kwakman Normal Goal
22'⚽ V. Edvardsen Normal Goal
35'⚽ R. Daal Normal Goal
49'⚽ L. Schouten Normal Goal
68'⚽ M. Chavez Garcia Normal Goal
86'⚽ R. Daal Normal Goal
90'⚽ M. Suray Normal Goal

Match preview

AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles: match preview

AZ Alkmaar host GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 4) at AFAS Stadion on Saturday 29 August, kick-off 17:45. The match finished 5-2.

Form guide

AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded. GO Ahead Eagles have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 league games, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. At home this season AZ Alkmaar have 1 win from 1 game, while GO Ahead Eagles have won 0 of 1 game on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.65 for GO Ahead Eagles, 3.65 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 88% chance, over 2.5 71% and both teams to score 70%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 6, GO Ahead Eagles won 0 and 4 ended level, with 3.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) at 73% confidence. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (88%), 1X (79%), Over 2.5 (71%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: AZ Alkmaar 46%, draw 33%, GO Ahead Eagles 21%.
Expected goals: 2 vs 1.65.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
AZ Alkmaar have 2 clean sheets this season; GO Ahead Eagles have 0.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw.

See more Eredivisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:43 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

Our main pick is Double Chance (1X) with 73% confidence. Win probabilities are AZ Alkmaar 46%, draw 33% and GO Ahead Eagles 21%.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

Our model gives both teams to score a 70% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles?

Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:45, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.