Eerste Divisie· Netherlands · Regular Season - 11

Jong Ajax

0-0

6'

De Graafschap

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap prediction

📅 Mon 19 Oct 2026 🏟️ Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam 🧑‍⚖️ Laurens Gerrets

Prediction

● Live data

18%

Jong Ajax

34%

Draw

48%

De Graafschap

Jong Ajax 18% · draw 34% · De Graafschap 48%. We pick 12 (Football Betting Tips | Eketips). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 62%, BTTS at 62%.

🎯 Our pick

Football Betting Tips | Eketips · 12

12 @ 1.19 Confidence 84%

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All prediction categories

1X2

248%

Fair 2.07Odds 1.22

Home win

Home win18%

Fair 5.53Odds 2.30

Away win

Away win48%

Fair 2.07Odds 1.22

Double chance

Value

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.53

Draw no bet

Away DNB73%

Fair 1.37Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH65%

Fair 1.53Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.562%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.560%

Fair 1.66Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)62%

Fair 1.62Odds 1.25

Correct score

1-110%

Fair 9.93Odds 9.50

Banker tip

Over 1.583%

Fair 1.21Odds —

Super single

Value

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.53

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.40

X4.00

22.30

Double chance

1X1.57

121.22

X21.53

Both teams to score

Yes1.25

No3.50

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	48%	2.07	1.22
Home win	Home win	18%	5.53	2.30
Away win	Away win	48%	2.07	1.22
Double chance	X2	82%	1.22	1.53	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	73%	1.37	—
Win either half	Away WEH	65%	1.53	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	83%	1.21	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	62%	1.61	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	60%	1.66	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	62%	1.62	1.25
Correct score	1-1	10%	9.93	9.50
Banker	Over 1.5	83%	1.21	—
Super single	X2	82%	1.22	1.53	Value

Form & head to head

Jong Ajax

WLLDL

27%

Form

10%

Attack

48%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)2 / 11

Season W-D-L2-2-6

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 3

De Graafschap

WLWDW

67%

Form

38%

Attack

71%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 6

Season W-D-L3-2-5

Clean sheets · failed to score1 · 1

Team comparison

Form

29%

71%

Attack

20%

80%

Defence

35%

65%

Poisson model

43%

57%

Head to head

50%

Goals

43%

57%

Overall

36%

63%

Head to head

4

Home wins

2

Draws

4

Away wins

6 Feb 26 De Graafschap 4 - 0 Jong Ajax

3 Oct 25 Jong Ajax 2 - 2 De Graafschap

19 Apr 25 De Graafschap 2 - 0 Jong Ajax

9 Dec 24 Jong Ajax 2 - 0 De Graafschap

11 Mar 24 De Graafschap 0 - 2 Jong Ajax

21 Aug 23 Jong Ajax 1 - 2 De Graafschap

3.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

9%Ball Possession91%

0Shots on Goal0

2Fouls0

0Yellow Cards0

0Expected goals (xG)0

Key events

No key events recorded.

Match preview

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap: match preview

Jong Ajax host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) at Sportpark De Toekomst on Monday 19 October, kick-off 19:00.

Form guide

Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. De Graafschap have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. At home this season Jong Ajax have 1 win from 5 games, while De Graafschap have won 1 of 5 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Jong Ajax and 1.9 for De Graafschap, 3.20 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 83% chance, over 2.5 62% and both teams to score 62%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Jong Ajax won 4, De Graafschap won 4 and 2 ended level, with 3.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (12) at 84% confidence, priced at 1.19. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (83%), X2 (82%), Away DNB (73%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Jong Ajax 18%, draw 34%, De Graafschap 48%.
Expected goals: 1.3 vs 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Jong Ajax have 2 clean sheets this season; De Graafschap have 1.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap.

See more Eerste Divisie numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE

Written by EkeTips Editorial Team Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By EkeTips Editorial Team · Updated 19 Oct 19:08 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?

Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (12) with 84% confidence. Win probabilities are Jong Ajax 18%, draw 34% and De Graafschap 48%.

Will both teams score in Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?

Our model gives both teams to score a 62% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 62% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?

Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:00, Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.