Serie A· Italy · Regular Season - 7

Monza

4-0

81'

Cagliari

Monza vs Cagliari prediction

📅 Mon 19 Oct 2026 🏟️ Stadio Brianteo, Monza 🧑‍⚖️ Andrea Calzavara

Prediction

● Live data

18%

Monza

35%

Draw

47%

Cagliari

Monza 18% · draw 35% · Cagliari 47%. We pick Over 1.5 (Football Betting Tips | Eketips). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 52%, BTTS at 54%.

🎯 Our pick

Football Betting Tips | Eketips · Over 1.5

Over 1.5 @ 1.32 Confidence 76%

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All prediction categories

1X2

247%

Fair 2.13Odds 1.36

Home win

Home win18%

Fair 5.49Odds 2.80

Away win

Away win47%

Fair 2.13Odds 1.36

Double chance

Value

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.50

Draw no bet

Away DNB72%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Win either half

Away WEH62%

Fair 1.61Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.576%

Fair 1.31Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.552%

Fair 1.92Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.570%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)54%

Fair 1.84Odds 1.80

Correct score

1-112%

Fair 8.58Odds 5.80

Banker tip

Value

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.50

Super single

Value

X282%

Fair 1.22Odds 1.50

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.50

X3.00

22.80

Double chance

1X1.40

121.36

X21.50

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No2.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	47%	2.13	1.36
Home win	Home win	18%	5.49	2.80
Away win	Away win	47%	2.13	1.36
Double chance	X2	82%	1.22	1.50	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	72%	1.39	—
Win either half	Away WEH	62%	1.61	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	76%	1.31	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	52%	1.92	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	70%	1.43	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	54%	1.84	1.80
Correct score	1-1	12%	8.58	5.80
Banker	X2	82%	1.22	1.50	Value
Super single	X2	82%	1.22	1.50	Value

Form & head to head

Monza

LDLWL

27%

Form

47%

Attack

35%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 11

Season W-D-L1-1-4

Clean sheets · failed to score0 · 0

Cagliari

LWWWD

67%

Form

29%

Attack

82%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 3

Season W-D-L4-1-1

Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 1

Team comparison

Form

29%

71%

Attack

62%

38%

Defence

21%

79%

Poisson model

18%

82%

Head to head

36%

64%

Goals

33%

67%

Overall

33%

66%

Head to head

2

Home wins

1

Draws

2

Away wins

19 Oct 26 Monza 4 - 0 Cagliari

30 Mar 25 Cagliari 3 - 0 Monza

5 Jan 25 Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari

16 Mar 24 Monza 1 - 0 Cagliari

26 Nov 23 Cagliari 1 - 1 Monza

2.60 goals per meeting · BTTS in 2 of 5 · over 2.5 in 3 of 5.

Match statistics

48%Ball Possession52%

11Total Shots11

6Shots on Goal3

0Corner Kicks7

8Fouls13

0Yellow Cards1

3Goalkeeper Saves2

1.03Expected goals (xG)1.16

Key events

39'⚽ Eddy Kouadio Normal Goal
47'⚽ Gustavo Varela Normal Goal
66'⚽ Jay Robinson Normal Goal
76'🟨 Harry Winks Yellow Card
79'⚽ Gustavo Varela Normal Goal

Match preview

Monza vs Cagliari: match preview

Monza host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) at Stadio Brianteo on Monday 19 October, kick-off 17:30.

Form guide

Monza have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Cagliari have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. At home this season Monza have 1 win from 2 games, while Cagliari have won 3 of 3 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.13 goals for Monza and 1.63 for Cagliari, 2.76 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 76% chance, over 2.5 52% and both teams to score 54%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 5 meetings, Monza won 2, Cagliari won 2 and 1 ended level, with 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 2.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (Over 1.5) at 76% confidence, priced at 1.32. The model also leans towards X2 (82%), Over 1.5 (76%), Away DNB (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Monza 18%, draw 35%, Cagliari 47%.
Expected goals: 1.13 vs 1.63.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Monza have 0 clean sheets this season; Cagliari have 3.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Cagliari.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

PS

Written by Princewill Sunday Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips

Princewill Sunday — Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips Princewill Sunday is the Football Content Editor, Website Admi...

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By Princewill Sunday · Updated 19 Oct 19:10 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monza vs Cagliari?

Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (Over 1.5) with 76% confidence. Win probabilities are Monza 18%, draw 35% and Cagliari 47%.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Cagliari?

Our model gives both teams to score a 54% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Monza vs Cagliari?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Monza vs Cagliari?

Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:30, Stadio Brianteo, Monza.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.