Meistriliiga· Estonia · Regular Season - 31

Paide

17:00

🕒 17:00

Tammeka

Paide vs Tammeka prediction

📅 Wed 14 Oct 2026 🏟️ Paide linnastaadion, Paide 🧑‍⚖️ K. Tohver

Prediction

● Live data

49%

Paide

34%

Draw

17%

Tammeka

Paide 49% · draw 34% · Tammeka 17%. We pick 1-0 (Correct Score). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 58%, BTTS at 58%.

🎯 Our pick

Correct Score · 1-0

1-0 @ 8.00 Confidence 13%

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All prediction categories

1X2

Value

149%

Fair 2.04Odds 4.20

Home win

Value

Home win49%

Fair 2.04Odds 4.20

Away win

Away win17%

Fair 5.85Odds 1.25

Double chance

1X83%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.20

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%

Fair 1.35Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH66%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.581%

Fair 1.24Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.558%

Fair 1.71Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.564%

Fair 1.56Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)58%

Fair 1.71Odds 1.44

Correct score

1-111%

Fair 9.48Odds 7.50

Banker tip

1X83%

Fair 1.21Odds 1.20

Super single

Home WEH66%

Fair 1.51Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.65

X3.75

24.20

Double chance

1X1.20

121.25

X22.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.44

No2.60

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	49%	2.04	4.20	Value
Home win	Home win	49%	2.04	4.20	Value
Away win	Away win	17%	5.85	1.25
Double chance	1X	83%	1.21	1.20
Draw no bet	Home DNB	74%	1.35	—
Win either half	Home WEH	66%	1.51	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	81%	1.24	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.71	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	64%	1.56	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	58%	1.71	1.44
Correct score	1-1	11%	9.48	7.50
Banker	1X	83%	1.21	1.20
Super single	Home WEH	66%	1.51	—

Form & head to head

Paide

WLWWL

60%

Form

62%

Attack

69%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 4

Season W-D-L15-6-9

Clean sheets · failed to score7 · 4

Tammeka

LWLLW

40%

Form

62%

Attack

8%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 12

Season W-D-L15-2-13

Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 8

Team comparison

Form

60%

40%

Attack

50%

Defence

75%

25%

Poisson model

61%

39%

Head to head

80%

20%

Goals

88%

13%

Overall

69%

31%

Head to head

8

Home wins

0

Draws

1

Away wins

9 Sep 26 Tammeka 0 - 2 Paide

1 May 26 Paide 0 - 1 Tammeka

12 Apr 26 Tammeka 1 - 4 Paide

29 Oct 25 Paide 3 - 0 Tammeka

18 Oct 25 Paide 5 - 0 Tammeka

23 Aug 25 Tammeka 0 - 1 Paide

2.44 goals per meeting · BTTS in 1 of 9 · over 2.5 in 3 of 9.

Match preview

Paide vs Tammeka: match preview

Paide host Tammeka in the Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 31) at Paide linnastaadion on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 17:00.

Form guide

Paide have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Tammeka have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. At home this season Paide have 8 wins from 14 games, while Tammeka have won 7 of 15 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Paide and 1.18 for Tammeka, 3.03 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 81% chance, over 2.5 58% and both teams to score 58%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 9 meetings, Paide won 8, Tammeka won 1 and 0 ended level, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 1.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Correct Score (1-0) at 13% confidence, priced at 8.00. The model also leans towards 1X (83%), Over 1.5 (81%), Home DNB (74%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Paide 49%, draw 34%, Tammeka 17%.
Expected goals: 1.85 vs 1.18.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 9 meetings.
Paide have 7 clean sheets this season; Tammeka have 10.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Paide or draw.

See more Meistriliiga numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

PS

Written by Princewill Sunday Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips

Princewill Sunday — Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips Princewill Sunday is the Football Content Editor, Website Admi...

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By Princewill Sunday · Updated 14 Oct 15:07 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paide vs Tammeka?

Our main pick is Correct Score (1-0) with 13% confidence. Win probabilities are Paide 49%, draw 34% and Tammeka 17%.

Will both teams score in Paide vs Tammeka?

Our model gives both teams to score a 58% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Paide vs Tammeka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Paide vs Tammeka?

Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00, Paide linnastaadion, Paide.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.