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Allsvenskan· Sweden · Regular Season - 24
Degerfors IF logo

Degerfors IF

1-2
51'
Kalmar FF logo

Kalmar FF

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF prediction

📅 Mon 19 Oct 2026 🏟️ Stora Valla, Degfors 🧑‍⚖️ Mohammed Al-Hakim

Prediction

● Live data
46%
Degerfors IF
37%
Draw
17%
Kalmar FF

Degerfors IF 46% · draw 37% · Kalmar FF 17%. We pick Over 1.5 (Football Betting Tips | Eketips). Most likely score 1-0, over 2.5 at 34%, BTTS at 40%.

🎯 Our pick
Football Betting Tips | Eketips · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.27 Confidence 79%
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All prediction categories

1X2

Value
146%
Fair 2.16Odds 2.40

Home win

Value
Home win46%
Fair 2.16Odds 2.40

Away win

Away win17%
Fair 6.01Odds 1.35

Double chance

Value
1X83%
Fair 1.20Odds 1.50

Draw no bet

Home DNB74%
Fair 1.36Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH58%
Fair 1.72Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.562%
Fair 1.63Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.566%
Fair 1.53Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.584%
Fair 1.19Odds —

Both teams to score

Value
NG (No)60%
Fair 1.66Odds 1.95

Correct score

Value
1-016%
Fair 6.25Odds 8.00

Banker tip

Under 3.584%
Fair 1.19Odds —

Super single

Value
1X83%
Fair 1.20Odds 1.50

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
12.90
X3.00
22.40
Double chance
1X1.50
121.35
X21.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.75
No1.95

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2146%2.162.40Value
Home winHome win46%2.162.40Value
Away winAway win17%6.011.35
Double chance1X83%1.201.50Value
Draw no betHome DNB74%1.36—
Win either halfHome WEH58%1.72—
Over 1.5Over 1.562%1.63—
Over 2.5Under 2.566%1.53—
Under 3.5Under 3.584%1.19—
BTTSNG (No)60%1.661.95Value
Correct score1-016%6.258.00Value
BankerUnder 3.584%1.19—
Super single1X83%1.201.50Value

Form & head to head

Degerfors IF

LWLLD
27%
Form
23%
Attack
54%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)3 / 6
Season W-D-L5-5-13
Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 11

Kalmar FF

LLLLL
0%
Form
0%
Attack
31%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)0 / 9
Season W-D-L5-4-14
Clean sheets · failed to score3 · 12

Team comparison

Form
100%
0%
Attack
100%
0%
Defence
60%
40%
Poisson model
63%
37%
Head to head
20%
80%
Goals
33%
67%
Overall
44%
56%

Head to head

1
Home wins
0
Draws
6
Away wins
23 May 26 Kalmar FF 2 - 1 Degerfors IF
21 Oct 23 Degerfors IF 1 - 3 Kalmar FF
10 Jun 23 Kalmar FF 2 - 1 Degerfors IF
30 Jul 22 Degerfors IF 2 - 1 Kalmar FF
17 Apr 22 Kalmar FF 2 - 0 Degerfors IF
12 Sep 21 Kalmar FF 4 - 1 Degerfors IF

3.00 goals per meeting · BTTS in 5 of 7 · over 2.5 in 5 of 7.

Match statistics

62%Ball Possession38%
8Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
5Corner Kicks1
5Fouls6
1Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
0.83Expected goals (xG)1.61

Key events

  1. 3'⚽ Marius Soderback Normal Goal
  2. 13'🟨 Ahmad Faqa Yellow Card
  3. 17'⚽ vilmer tyren Normal Goal
  4. 41'⚽ Nahom Girmai Normal Goal

Match preview

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF: match preview

Degerfors IF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan (Regular Season - 24) at Stora Valla on Monday 19 October, kick-off 18:00.

Form guide

Degerfors IF have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Kalmar FF have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. At home this season Degerfors IF have 3 wins from 11 games, while Kalmar FF have won 0 of 12 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.28 goals for Degerfors IF and 0.8 for Kalmar FF, 2.08 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 62% chance, over 2.5 34% and both teams to score 40%. The single most likely score is 1-0.

Head to head

In their last 7 meetings, Degerfors IF won 1, Kalmar FF won 6 and 0 ended level, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 5.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (Over 1.5) at 79% confidence, priced at 1.27. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (84%), 1X (83%), Home DNB (74%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Degerfors IF 46%, draw 37%, Kalmar FF 17%.
  • Expected goals: 1.28 vs 0.8.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Degerfors IF have 3 clean sheets this season; Kalmar FF have 3.
  • API-Football model advice: Combo Double chance : Degerfors IF or draw and -3.5 goals.

See more Allsvenskan numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

PS
Written by Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips

Princewill Sunday — Football Content Editor, Website Administrator & Football Prediction Platform Reviewer at Eketips Princewill Sunday is the Football Content Editor, Website Admi...

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By · Updated 19 Oct 19:07 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
Our main pick is Football Betting Tips | Eketips (Over 1.5) with 79% confidence. Win probabilities are Degerfors IF 46%, draw 37% and Kalmar FF 17%.
Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
Our model gives both teams to score a 40% chance, so the lean is NG (No).
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 34% chance and the most likely score is 1-0.
When and where is Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF?
Monday 19 October 2026 at 18:00, Stora Valla, Degfors.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.