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Liga Profesional Argentina· Argentina · Clausura - 12
Gimnasia L.P. logo

Gimnasia L.P.

22:00
🕒 22:00
Atletico Tucuman logo

Atletico Tucuman

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman prediction

📅 Fri 9 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata 🧑‍⚖️ Pablo Dovalo

Prediction

● Live data
45%
Gimnasia L.P.
36%
Draw
19%
Atletico Tucuman

Gimnasia L.P. 45% · draw 36% · Atletico Tucuman 19%. We pick Over 1.5 (1.5 Goals). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 50%.

🎯 Our pick
1.5 Goals · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.39 Confidence 72%
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All prediction categories

1X2

Value
145%
Fair 2.22Odds 4.00

Home win

Value
Home win45%
Fair 2.22Odds 4.00

Away win

Away win19%
Fair 5.20Odds 1.33

Double chance

1X81%
Fair 1.24Odds 1.22

Draw no bet

Home DNB70%
Fair 1.43Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH58%
Fair 1.73Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.571%
Fair 1.40Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.554%
Fair 1.85Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.576%
Fair 1.32Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)50%
Fair 1.99Odds 2.00

Correct score

1-113%
Fair 7.97Odds 6.00

Banker tip

1X81%
Fair 1.24Odds 1.22

Super single

Home WEH58%
Fair 1.73Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner
11.91
X3.10
24.00
Double chance
1X1.22
121.33
X21.83
Both teams to score
Yes2.00
No1.75

Value check

MarketPickProb.FairOdds
1X2145%2.224.00Value
Home winHome win45%2.224.00Value
Away winAway win19%5.201.33
Double chance1X81%1.241.22
Draw no betHome DNB70%1.43—
Win either halfHome WEH58%1.73—
Over 1.5Over 1.571%1.40—
Over 2.5Under 2.554%1.85—
Under 3.5Under 3.576%1.32—
BTTSGG (Yes)50%1.992.00
Correct score1-113%7.976.00
Banker1X81%1.241.22
Super singleHome WEH58%1.73—

Form & head to head

Gimnasia L.P.

WWDDD
60%
Form
57%
Attack
57%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)8 / 6
Season W-D-L14-5-10
Clean sheets · failed to score8 · 7

Atletico Tucuman

DWLLL
27%
Form
36%
Attack
50%
Defence
Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 7
Season W-D-L6-9-12
Clean sheets · failed to score11 · 9

Team comparison

Form
69%
31%
Attack
62%
38%
Defence
54%
46%
Poisson model
56%
44%
Head to head
80%
20%
Goals
71%
29%
Overall
65%
34%

Head to head

5
Home wins
0
Draws
5
Away wins
21 Mar 26 Atletico Tucuman 1 - 0 Gimnasia L.P.
1 Sep 25 Gimnasia L.P. 1 - 0 Atletico Tucuman
24 Feb 25 Atletico Tucuman 0 - 1 Gimnasia L.P.
24 Nov 24 Gimnasia L.P. 1 - 0 Atletico Tucuman
23 May 24 Atletico Tucuman 1 - 2 Gimnasia L.P.
7 Apr 24 Atletico Tucuman 3 - 2 Gimnasia L.P.

2.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 4 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match preview

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: match preview

Gimnasia L.P. host Atletico Tucuman in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 12) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo on Friday 9 October, kick-off 22:00.

Form guide

Gimnasia L.P. have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Atletico Tucuman have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. At home this season Gimnasia L.P. have 7 wins from 13 games, while Atletico Tucuman have won 4 of 13 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.43 goals for Gimnasia L.P. and 1.08 for Atletico Tucuman, 2.51 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 71% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 50%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 5, Atletico Tucuman won 5 and 0 ended level, with 2.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 4.

Our verdict

Our main pick is 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) at 72% confidence, priced at 1.39. The model also leans towards 1X (81%), Under 3.5 (76%), Over 1.5 (71%).

Key facts

  • Win probabilities: Gimnasia L.P. 45%, draw 36%, Atletico Tucuman 19%.
  • Expected goals: 1.43 vs 1.08.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Gimnasia L.P. have 8 clean sheets this season; Atletico Tucuman have 11.
  • API-Football model advice: Double chance : Gimnasia L.P. or draw.

See more Liga Profesional Argentina numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

EE
Written by Football Analysis Desk

The EkeTips Editorial Team writes the match previews and predictions published on EkeTips every day. Each preview is built from team form, head-to-head records, goal trends, lineu...

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By · Updated 9 Oct 09:01 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our main pick is 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Gimnasia L.P. 45%, draw 36% and Atletico Tucuman 19%.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our model gives both teams to score a 50% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.
When and where is Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
Friday 9 October 2026 at 22:00, Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.
Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

  • Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
  • Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
  • Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
  • Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.