Serie A· Brazil · Regular Season - 29

Vitoria

1-0

45'

Chapecoense-sc

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc prediction

📅 Thu 8 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador 🧑‍⚖️ Edina Alves Batista

Prediction

● Live data

38%

Vitoria

31%

Draw

31%

Chapecoense-sc

Vitoria 38% · draw 31% · Chapecoense-sc 31%. We pick 1X (Banker). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 51%.

🎯 Our pick

Banker · 1X

1X @ 1.12 Confidence 86%

Get today's VIP slip

All prediction categories

1X2

Value

138%

Fair 2.64Odds 5.80

Home win

Value

Home win38%

Fair 2.64Odds 5.80

Away win

Away win31%

Fair 3.19Odds 1.25

Double chance

1269%

Fair 1.45Odds —

Draw no bet

Home DNB55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Win either half

Home WEH54%

Fair 1.85Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.572%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.87Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.575%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Both teams to score

GG (Yes)51%

Fair 1.95Odds 1.80

Correct score

1-113%

Fair 7.88Odds 7.00

Banker tip

Under 3.575%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Super single

Home DNB55%

Fair 1.83Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

11.50

X3.90

25.80

Double chance

1X1.12

121.25

X22.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No1.91

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	38%	2.64	5.80	Value
Home win	Home win	38%	2.64	5.80	Value
Away win	Away win	31%	3.19	1.25
Double chance	12	69%	1.45	—
Draw no bet	Home DNB	55%	1.83	—
Win either half	Home WEH	54%	1.85	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	72%	1.39	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.87	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	75%	1.33	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	51%	1.95	1.80
Correct score	1-1	13%	7.88	7.00
Banker	Under 3.5	75%	1.33	—
Super single	Home DNB	55%	1.83	—

Form & head to head

Vitoria

LLWDL

27%

Form

36%

Attack

36%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)5 / 9

Season W-D-L9-6-13

Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 9

Chapecoense-sc

WLWLD

47%

Form

43%

Attack

50%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 7

Season W-D-L3-9-15

Clean sheets · failed to score2 · 8

Team comparison

Form

36%

64%

Attack

45%

55%

Defence

44%

56%

Poisson model

71%

29%

Head to head

50%

Goals

44%

56%

Overall

48%

51%

Head to head

4

Home wins

3

Draws

3

Away wins

5 Apr 26 Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1 Vitoria

25 Nov 23 Chapecoense-sc 3 - 1 Vitoria

24 Jul 23 Vitoria 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc

17 Jan 21 Vitoria 0 - 0 Chapecoense-sc

17 Oct 20 Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1 Vitoria

14 Oct 18 Chapecoense-sc 0 - 1 Vitoria

2.20 goals per meeting · BTTS in 6 of 10 · over 2.5 in 4 of 10.

Match statistics

55%Ball Possession45%

5Total Shots6

2Shots on Goal3

2Corner Kicks3

4Fouls5

1Yellow Cards1

3Goalkeeper Saves1

Key events

18'⚽ Erick Normal Goal
22'🟨 Kauan Faria Yellow Card
23'🟨 Rafael dos Santos Lacerda Yellow Card
44'🟨 Luan Cândido Yellow Card

Match preview

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc: match preview

Vitoria host Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A (Regular Season - 29) at Estadio Manoel Barradas on Thursday 8 October, kick-off 00:00.

Form guide

Vitoria have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Chapecoense-sc have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. At home this season Vitoria have 9 wins from 14 games, while Chapecoense-sc have won 1 of 14 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Vitoria and 1.18 for Chapecoense-sc, 2.53 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 72% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 51%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Vitoria won 4, Chapecoense-sc won 3 and 3 ended level, with 2.2 goals per game and both teams scoring in 6.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Banker (1X) at 86% confidence, priced at 1.12. The model also leans towards Under 3.5 (75%), Over 1.5 (72%), 12 (69%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Vitoria 38%, draw 31%, Chapecoense-sc 31%.
Expected goals: 1.35 vs 1.18.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Vitoria have 10 clean sheets this season; Chapecoense-sc have 2.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 00:48 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our main pick is Banker (1X) with 86% confidence. Win probabilities are Vitoria 38%, draw 31% and Chapecoense-sc 31%.

Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00, Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.