Serie A· Brazil · Regular Season - 29

Internacional

2-1

FT

Corinthians

Internacional vs Corinthians prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre 🧑‍⚖️ Felipe Fernandes de Lima

Prediction

● Live data

44%

Internacional

36%

Draw

21%

Corinthians

Internacional 44% · draw 36% · Corinthians 21%. We pick Under 2.5 (V4). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 46%, BTTS at 51%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

V4 · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.72 Confidence 58%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✓

144%

Fair 2.30Odds 3.10

Home win

✓

Home win44%

Fair 2.30Odds 3.10

Away win

✕

Away win21%

Fair 4.85Odds 1.40

Double chance

✓

1X79%

Fair 1.26Odds 1.33

Draw no bet

✓

Home DNB68%

Fair 1.47Odds —

Win either half

✓

Home WEH55%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.572%

Fair 1.39Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✕

Under 2.554%

Fair 1.87Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✓

Under 3.575%

Fair 1.33Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)51%

Fair 1.96Odds 2.10

Correct score

✕

1-113%

Fair 7.91Odds 5.50

Banker tip

✓

1X79%

Fair 1.26Odds 1.33

Super single

✓

Home WEH55%

Fair 1.81Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.40

X2.75

23.10

Double chance

1X1.33

121.40

X21.50

Both teams to score

Yes2.10

No1.67

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	1	44%	2.30	3.10	Value
Home win	Home win	44%	2.30	3.10	Value
Away win	Away win	21%	4.85	1.40
Double chance	1X	79%	1.26	1.33	Value
Draw no bet	Home DNB	68%	1.47	—
Win either half	Home WEH	55%	1.81	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	72%	1.39	—
Over 2.5	Under 2.5	54%	1.87	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	75%	1.33	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	51%	1.96	2.10	Value
Correct score	1-1	13%	7.91	5.50
Banker	1X	79%	1.26	1.33	Value
Super single	Home WEH	55%	1.81	—

Form & head to head

Internacional

DLLWL

27%

Form

43%

Attack

43%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)6 / 8

Season W-D-L6-10-12

Clean sheets · failed to score6 · 9

Corinthians

LLLLL

0%

Form

29%

Attack

29%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)4 / 10

Season W-D-L8-8-12

Clean sheets · failed to score10 · 7

Team comparison

Form

100%

0%

Attack

60%

40%

Defence

56%

44%

Poisson model

46%

54%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

52%

47%

Head to head

5

Home wins

3

Draws

2

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Internacional 2 - 1 Corinthians

7 Aug 26 Corinthians 2 - 1 Internacional

2 Aug 26 Internacional 2 - 0 Corinthians

5 Apr 26 Corinthians 0 - 1 Internacional

1 Oct 25 Internacional 1 - 1 Corinthians

3 May 25 Corinthians 4 - 2 Internacional

2.90 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 6 of 10.

Match statistics

28%Ball Possession72%

17Total Shots22

7Shots on Goal7

3Corner Kicks12

20Fouls12

4Yellow Cards4

6Goalkeeper Saves5

Key events

1'⚽ Vitinho Normal Goal
28'🟨 Breno Bidon Yellow Card
41'🟨 Kaio César Yellow Card
45'+5🟨 Alexandro Bernabéi Yellow Card
47'🟨 Rodrigo Villagra Yellow Card
58'🟨 Gustavo Henrique Yellow Card
58'🟨 Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula Yellow Card
77'⚽ Alan Patrick Normal Goal
80'⚽ André Normal Goal
85'🟨 Rodrigo Garro Yellow Card
90'+5🟨 Gabriel Mercado Yellow Card
90'+5🟨 Gui Negão Yellow Card

Match preview

Internacional vs Corinthians: match preview

Internacional host Corinthians in the Serie A (Regular Season - 29) at Estádio Beira Rio on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 23:30. The match finished 2-1.

Form guide

Internacional have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Corinthians have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. At home this season Internacional have 3 wins from 14 games, while Corinthians have won 3 of 13 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.38 goals for Internacional and 1.15 for Corinthians, 2.53 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 72% chance, over 2.5 46% and both teams to score 51%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Internacional won 5, Corinthians won 2 and 3 ended level, with 2.9 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is V4 (Under 2.5) at 58% confidence, priced at 1.72. The model also leans towards 1X (79%), Under 3.5 (75%), Over 1.5 (72%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Internacional 44%, draw 36%, Corinthians 21%.
Expected goals: 1.38 vs 1.15.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Internacional have 6 clean sheets this season; Corinthians have 10.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : Internacional or draw.

See more Serie A numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional vs Corinthians?

Our main pick is V4 (Under 2.5) with 58% confidence. Win probabilities are Internacional 44%, draw 36% and Corinthians 21%.

Will both teams score in Internacional vs Corinthians?

Our model gives both teams to score a 51% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Corinthians?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Internacional vs Corinthians?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 23:30, Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.