Major League Soccer· USA · Regular Season - 16

Chicago Fire

3-1

FT

Vancouver Whitecaps

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

📅 Wed 7 Oct 2026 🏟️ Soldier Field, Chicago 🧑‍⚖️ Serhiy Boiko

Prediction

● Live data

20%

Chicago Fire

34%

Draw

46%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Chicago Fire 20% · draw 34% · Vancouver Whitecaps 46%. We pick X2 (Double Chance). Most likely score 1-1, over 2.5 at 66%, BTTS at 66%.

🎯 Our pick✗ Lost

Double Chance · X2

X2 @ 1.40 Confidence 72%

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All prediction categories

1X2

✕

246%

Fair 2.16Odds 1.25

Home win

✓

Home win20%

Fair 4.98Odds 2.10

Away win

✕

Away win46%

Fair 2.16Odds 1.25

Double chance

✕

X280%

Fair 1.25Odds 1.40

Draw no bet

✕

Away DNB70%

Fair 1.43Odds —

Win either half

✕

Away WEH63%

Fair 1.60Odds —

Over/Under 1.5

✓

Over 1.585%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Over/Under 2.5

✓

Over 2.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Over/Under 3.5

✕

Under 3.556%

Fair 1.78Odds —

Both teams to score

✓

GG (Yes)66%

Fair 1.52Odds 1.36

Correct score

✕

1-110%

Fair 10.44Odds 8.00

Banker tip

✓

Over 1.585%

Fair 1.18Odds —

Super single

✓

Over 2.566%

Fair 1.52Odds —

Probability comes from our goal model blended with the API win percentages. Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability. Value means the bookmaker pays more than the fair price.

Odds

Bookmaker odds · Bet365

Match winner

12.88

X3.60

22.10

Double chance

1X1.62

121.25

X21.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.36

No3.00

Value check

Market	Pick	Prob.	Fair	Odds
1X2	2	46%	2.16	1.25
Home win	Home win	20%	4.98	2.10
Away win	Away win	46%	2.16	1.25
Double chance	X2	80%	1.25	1.40	Value
Draw no bet	Away DNB	70%	1.43	—
Win either half	Away WEH	63%	1.60	—
Over 1.5	Over 1.5	85%	1.18	—
Over 2.5	Over 2.5	66%	1.52	—
Under 3.5	Under 3.5	56%	1.78	—
BTTS	GG (Yes)	66%	1.52	1.36
Correct score	1-1	10%	10.44	8.00
Banker	Over 1.5	85%	1.18	—
Super single	Over 2.5	66%	1.52	—

Form & head to head

Chicago Fire

DDLLW

33%

Form

37%

Attack

47%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)7 / 10

Season W-D-L12-6-8

Clean sheets · failed to score7 · 2

Vancouver Whitecaps

LWLWD

47%

Form

58%

Attack

58%

Defence

Scored / conceded (last 5)11 / 8

Season W-D-L15-5-6

Clean sheets · failed to score11 · 4

Team comparison

Form

42%

58%

Attack

39%

61%

Defence

44%

56%

Poisson model

37%

63%

Head to head

40%

60%

Goals

50%

Overall

42%

58%

Head to head

4

Home wins

1

Draws

5

Away wins

7 Oct 26 Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps

23 Mar 25 Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 Chicago Fire

31 Aug 23 Chicago Fire 0 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps

24 Jul 22 Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 Chicago Fire

10 Apr 21 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 - 2 Chicago Fire

23 Jul 20 Chicago Fire 0 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps

3.40 goals per meeting · BTTS in 7 of 10 · over 2.5 in 7 of 10.

Match statistics

48%Ball Possession52%

22Total Shots15

7Shots on Goal2

2Corner Kicks8

8Fouls11

2Yellow Cards1

1Goalkeeper Saves3

Key events

9'⚽ Jonathan Bamba Normal Goal
19'🟨 Philip Zinckernagel Yellow Card
27'⚽ Philip Zinckernagel Missed Penalty
50'⚽ Philip Zinckernagel Normal Goal
55'🟨 Jonathan Dean Yellow Card
61'🟨 Tate Johnson Yellow Card
73'⚽ Mathías Laborda Normal Goal
88'⚽ Maren Haile-Selassie Normal Goal

Match preview

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps: match preview

Chicago Fire host Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 16) at Soldier Field on Wednesday 7 October, kick-off 01:30. The match finished 3-1.

Form guide

Chicago Fire have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. At home this season Chicago Fire have 7 wins from 12 games, while Vancouver Whitecaps have won 6 of 11 games on the road.

Goals outlook

Our goal model expects about 1.48 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.9 for Vancouver Whitecaps, 3.38 in total. That gives over 1.5 goals a 85% chance, over 2.5 66% and both teams to score 66%. The single most likely score is 1-1.

Head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Chicago Fire won 4, Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 and 1 ended level, with 3.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 7.

Our verdict

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) at 72% confidence, priced at 1.40. The model also leans towards Over 1.5 (85%), X2 (80%), Away DNB (70%).

Key facts

Win probabilities: Chicago Fire 20%, draw 34%, Vancouver Whitecaps 46%.
Expected goals: 1.48 vs 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Chicago Fire have 7 clean sheets this season; Vancouver Whitecaps have 11.
API-Football model advice: Double chance : draw or Vancouver Whitecaps.

See more Major League Soccer numbers on the league statistics page, or read our guides on how our confidence ratings work.

E EkeTips data desk · Updated 8 Oct 02:02 · Data: API-Football · Odds: Bet365· 18+ Bet responsibly

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our main pick is Double Chance (X2) with 72% confidence. Win probabilities are Chicago Fire 20%, draw 34% and Vancouver Whitecaps 46%.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Our model gives both teams to score a 66% chance, so the lean is GG (Yes).

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 66% chance and the most likely score is 1-1.

When and where is Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 01:30, Soldier Field, Chicago.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Predictions are statistical probabilities based on form, goals and odds. Bet responsibly, 18+ only.

Match analysis

How to read a match analysis

Each match analysis brings together everything we use to make a prediction: win, draw and away probabilities, a side-by-side team comparison, recent form, head-to-head history and live bookmaker odds.

What each section means

Prediction: the model's probability for a home win, draw and away win.
Team comparison: form, attack, defence, goals and head-to-head strength as a percentage split.
Our pick: the recommended market with odds and a confidence rating.
Head to head: recent meetings between the two teams.

For finished matches, the page also shows match statistics and key events such as goals and cards.